Recent forecast models indicate typical late-August nocturnal cooling in Chongqing's humid subtropical climate, with projected daily minimums near 27–29°C, driving the closely matched market-implied odds across a wide range of outcomes. High humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—common in the region during this period—limit radiative cooling and create variability in overnight lows, while the city's mountainous terrain can produce localized differences in temperature. Historical data show August minimums averaging 25–27°C with occasional dips below 24°C or spikes above 30°C tied to atmospheric moisture and wind patterns. Traders weigh the latest ensemble runs from global and regional models, with resolution hinging on the official observed low reported for the 24-hour period ending August 27.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 27?
34°C or higher 52%
24°C or below 51%
26°C 48%
27°C 48%
24°C or below
51%
25°C
44%
26°C
48%
27°C
48%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
2%
31°C
48%
32°C
38%
33°C
38%
34°C or higher
52%
34°C or higher 52%
24°C or below 51%
26°C 48%
27°C 48%
24°C or below
51%
25°C
44%
26°C
48%
27°C
48%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
2%
31°C
48%
32°C
38%
33°C
38%
34°C or higher
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate typical late-August nocturnal cooling in Chongqing's humid subtropical climate, with projected daily minimums near 27–29°C, driving the closely matched market-implied odds across a wide range of outcomes. High humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—common in the region during this period—limit radiative cooling and create variability in overnight lows, while the city's mountainous terrain can produce localized differences in temperature. Historical data show August minimums averaging 25–27°C with occasional dips below 24°C or spikes above 30°C tied to atmospheric moisture and wind patterns. Traders weigh the latest ensemble runs from global and regional models, with resolution hinging on the official observed low reported for the 24-hour period ending August 27.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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