Current forecast consensus from European and global models positions Amsterdam’s peak temperature on August 27 near 26–28 °C, with 27 °C as the modal outcome. Persistent warm advection from the southeast under slack pressure gradients, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, is expected to cap daytime maxima while limiting nocturnal cooling. Recent runs from the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles show tight clustering around this range, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring 27 °C at 40 % and adjacent bins at 26 °C and 28 °C. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 22 °C, so the current setup reflects a modest positive anomaly that could shift with any last-minute strengthening of onshore flow or heavier precipitation. Updated model guidance and official KNMI observations on the day will drive final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
27°C 40%
28°C 19%
26°C 15%
25°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
15%
27°C
40%
28°C
19%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 40%
28°C 19%
26°C 15%
25°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
$10 Обс.
4%
23°C
$0 Обс.
4%
24°C
$0 Обс.
3%
25°C
$82 Обс.
7%
26°C
$414 Обс.
15%
27°C
$73 Обс.
40%
28°C
$15 Обс.
19%
29°C
$0 Обс.
6%
30°C
$0 Обс.
6%
31°C
$0 Обс.
1%
32°C or higher
$106 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from European and global models positions Amsterdam’s peak temperature on August 27 near 26–28 °C, with 27 °C as the modal outcome. Persistent warm advection from the southeast under slack pressure gradients, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, is expected to cap daytime maxima while limiting nocturnal cooling. Recent runs from the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles show tight clustering around this range, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring 27 °C at 40 % and adjacent bins at 26 °C and 28 °C. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 22 °C, so the current setup reflects a modest positive anomaly that could shift with any last-minute strengthening of onshore flow or heavier precipitation. Updated model guidance and official KNMI observations on the day will drive final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$699Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from European and global models positions Amsterdam’s peak temperature on August 27 near 26–28 °C, with 27 °C as the modal outcome. Persistent warm advection from the southeast under slack pressure gradients, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, is expected to cap daytime maxima while limiting nocturnal cooling. Recent runs from the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles show tight clustering around this range, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring 27 °C at 40 % and adjacent bins at 26 °C and 28 °C. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 22 °C, so the current setup reflects a modest positive anomaly that could shift with any last-minute strengthening of onshore flow or heavier precipitation. Updated model guidance and official KNMI observations on the day will drive final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$699Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from European and global models positions Amsterdam’s peak temperature on August 27 near 26–28 °C, with 27 °C as the modal outcome. Persistent warm advection from the southeast under slack pressure gradients, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, is expected to cap daytime maxima while limiting nocturnal cooling. Recent runs from the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles show tight clustering around this range, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring 27 °C at 40 % and adjacent bins at 26 °C and 28 °C. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 22 °C, so the current setup reflects a modest positive anomaly that could shift with any last-minute strengthening of onshore flow or heavier precipitation. Updated model guidance and official KNMI observations on the day will drive final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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