Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a primary driver of trader sentiment as the consensus for a peak near 30°C on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and moderate humidity moderating intense solar heating after hotter conditions on August 23. Official guidance highlights 29–31°C ranges as most probable, with 30% precipitation chances potentially suppressing maxima, while historical August baselines near 31°C provide context for the spread. Key variables include evolving model runs on cloud thickness and steering patterns, plus any late adjustments from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Updated short-range forecasts and ensemble outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution odds around these central outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
30°C 34%
29°C 21%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
21%
30°C
34%
31°C
20%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 34%
29°C 21%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
$42 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$38 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$26 Обс.
1%
27°C
$41 Обс.
5%
28°C
$135 Обс.
8%
29°C
$72 Обс.
21%
30°C
$123 Обс.
34%
31°C
$59 Обс.
20%
32°C
$0 Обс.
7%
33°C
$5 Обс.
3%
34°C or higher
$5 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a primary driver of trader sentiment as the consensus for a peak near 30°C on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and moderate humidity moderating intense solar heating after hotter conditions on August 23. Official guidance highlights 29–31°C ranges as most probable, with 30% precipitation chances potentially suppressing maxima, while historical August baselines near 31°C provide context for the spread. Key variables include evolving model runs on cloud thickness and steering patterns, plus any late adjustments from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Updated short-range forecasts and ensemble outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution odds around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$511Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a primary driver of trader sentiment as the consensus for a peak near 30°C on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and moderate humidity moderating intense solar heating after hotter conditions on August 23. Official guidance highlights 29–31°C ranges as most probable, with 30% precipitation chances potentially suppressing maxima, while historical August baselines near 31°C provide context for the spread. Key variables include evolving model runs on cloud thickness and steering patterns, plus any late adjustments from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Updated short-range forecasts and ensemble outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution odds around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$511Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a primary driver of trader sentiment as the consensus for a peak near 30°C on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and moderate humidity moderating intense solar heating after hotter conditions on August 23. Official guidance highlights 29–31°C ranges as most probable, with 30% precipitation chances potentially suppressing maxima, while historical August baselines near 31°C provide context for the spread. Key variables include evolving model runs on cloud thickness and steering patterns, plus any late adjustments from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Updated short-range forecasts and ensemble outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution odds around these central outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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