Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures for Wuhan on August 25 near 36–37 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly flow and low precipitation chances, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities for those two outcomes. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in simulated afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which can reduce peak solar heating by 1–2 °C if scattered showers develop versus clear-sky scenarios that allow stronger surface warming. Official guidance from the Wuhan Meteorological Service and regional analyses place the most likely range at 35–37 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River valley, while newer model cycles over the next 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty around the exact daily maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 25?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 25?
37°C 34%
36°C 32%
38°C 17%
35°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
11%
36°C
32%
37°C
34%
38°C
17%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
2%
37°C 34%
36°C 32%
38°C 17%
35°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
$28 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$113 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$559 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$101 Обс.
1%
34°C
$189 Обс.
4%
35°C
$173 Обс.
11%
36°C
$86 Обс.
32%
37°C
$253 Обс.
34%
38°C
$224 Обс.
17%
39°C
$45 Обс.
5%
40°C or higher
$60 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures for Wuhan on August 25 near 36–37 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly flow and low precipitation chances, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities for those two outcomes. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in simulated afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which can reduce peak solar heating by 1–2 °C if scattered showers develop versus clear-sky scenarios that allow stronger surface warming. Official guidance from the Wuhan Meteorological Service and regional analyses place the most likely range at 35–37 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River valley, while newer model cycles over the next 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty around the exact daily maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,831Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures for Wuhan on August 25 near 36–37 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly flow and low precipitation chances, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities for those two outcomes. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in simulated afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which can reduce peak solar heating by 1–2 °C if scattered showers develop versus clear-sky scenarios that allow stronger surface warming. Official guidance from the Wuhan Meteorological Service and regional analyses place the most likely range at 35–37 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River valley, while newer model cycles over the next 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty around the exact daily maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,831Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures for Wuhan on August 25 near 36–37 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly flow and low precipitation chances, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities for those two outcomes. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in simulated afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which can reduce peak solar heating by 1–2 °C if scattered showers develop versus clear-sky scenarios that allow stronger surface warming. Official guidance from the Wuhan Meteorological Service and regional analyses place the most likely range at 35–37 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River valley, while newer model cycles over the next 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty around the exact daily maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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