Persistent showers and a cooler westerly flow are suppressing daytime heating, positioning 21°C as the market leader at 38.5% implied probability. Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for showers throughout August 23 with a daytime high of 21°C, consistent with model consensus showing an incoming air mass that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup deviates from the 1991–2020 climatological average high near 25.5°C, keeping probabilities for 22°C (26.5%) and 20°C (22.5%) as secondary outcomes while sharply discounting 23°C or warmer. Updated model runs and the official high-temperature verification at Pearson Airport will determine final resolution as the event unfolds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on August 23?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 23?
21°C 39%
22°C 26%
20°C 24%
23°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
24%
21°C
39%
22°C
26%
23°C
8%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 39%
22°C 26%
20°C 24%
23°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
$80 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$80 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$8 Обс.
1%
18°C
$50 Обс.
2%
19°C
$83 Обс.
6%
20°C
$889 Обс.
24%
21°C
$47 Обс.
39%
22°C
$714 Обс.
26%
23°C
$292 Обс.
8%
24°C
$10 Обс.
2%
25°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent showers and a cooler westerly flow are suppressing daytime heating, positioning 21°C as the market leader at 38.5% implied probability. Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for showers throughout August 23 with a daytime high of 21°C, consistent with model consensus showing an incoming air mass that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup deviates from the 1991–2020 climatological average high near 25.5°C, keeping probabilities for 22°C (26.5%) and 20°C (22.5%) as secondary outcomes while sharply discounting 23°C or warmer. Updated model runs and the official high-temperature verification at Pearson Airport will determine final resolution as the event unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,253Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent showers and a cooler westerly flow are suppressing daytime heating, positioning 21°C as the market leader at 38.5% implied probability. Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for showers throughout August 23 with a daytime high of 21°C, consistent with model consensus showing an incoming air mass that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup deviates from the 1991–2020 climatological average high near 25.5°C, keeping probabilities for 22°C (26.5%) and 20°C (22.5%) as secondary outcomes while sharply discounting 23°C or warmer. Updated model runs and the official high-temperature verification at Pearson Airport will determine final resolution as the event unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,253Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent showers and a cooler westerly flow are suppressing daytime heating, positioning 21°C as the market leader at 38.5% implied probability. Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for showers throughout August 23 with a daytime high of 21°C, consistent with model consensus showing an incoming air mass that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup deviates from the 1991–2020 climatological average high near 25.5°C, keeping probabilities for 22°C (26.5%) and 20°C (22.5%) as secondary outcomes while sharply discounting 23°C or warmer. Updated model runs and the official high-temperature verification at Pearson Airport will determine final resolution as the event unfolds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання