National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 23 project a high near 101°F under sunny skies, light west-to-south winds, and heat indices reaching 106°F, aligning closely with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 60.5% implied probability. Recent observations show daily maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s amid persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, consistent with seasonal patterns but above the August average of 93°F. Model guidance from official sources indicates limited day-to-day variability, with no significant frontal passages or moisture influx expected to alter peak temperatures before resolution. Traders appear to weigh this consensus heavily against historical records, though minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs could shift positioning toward the 102-103°F bin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on August 23?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 23?
100-101°F 61%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 12%
104-105°F 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
61%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 61%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 12%
104-105°F 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
93°F or below
$160 Обс.
<1%
94-95°F
$142 Обс.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,495 Обс.
1%
98-99°F
$1,247 Обс.
28%
100-101°F
$3,688 Обс.
61%
102-103°F
$913 Обс.
12%
104-105°F
$535 Обс.
2%
106-107°F
$184 Обс.
<1%
108-109°F
$165 Обс.
<1%
110-111°F
$200 Обс.
<1%
112°F or higher
$338 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 23 project a high near 101°F under sunny skies, light west-to-south winds, and heat indices reaching 106°F, aligning closely with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 60.5% implied probability. Recent observations show daily maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s amid persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, consistent with seasonal patterns but above the August average of 93°F. Model guidance from official sources indicates limited day-to-day variability, with no significant frontal passages or moisture influx expected to alter peak temperatures before resolution. Traders appear to weigh this consensus heavily against historical records, though minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs could shift positioning toward the 102-103°F bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$9,067Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 23 project a high near 101°F under sunny skies, light west-to-south winds, and heat indices reaching 106°F, aligning closely with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 60.5% implied probability. Recent observations show daily maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s amid persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, consistent with seasonal patterns but above the August average of 93°F. Model guidance from official sources indicates limited day-to-day variability, with no significant frontal passages or moisture influx expected to alter peak temperatures before resolution. Traders appear to weigh this consensus heavily against historical records, though minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs could shift positioning toward the 102-103°F bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,067Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 23 project a high near 101°F under sunny skies, light west-to-south winds, and heat indices reaching 106°F, aligning closely with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 60.5% implied probability. Recent observations show daily maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s amid persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, consistent with seasonal patterns but above the August average of 93°F. Model guidance from official sources indicates limited day-to-day variability, with no significant frontal passages or moisture influx expected to alter peak temperatures before resolution. Traders appear to weigh this consensus heavily against historical records, though minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs could shift positioning toward the 102-103°F bin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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