**Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature near 28°C for Wuhan on August 25, 2026, driven by a persistent warm, moist subtropical air mass with high dew points and light easterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** High overnight humidity (typically 60-80%) and urban heat retention in the Yangtze River valley keep lows elevated despite mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions expected that night. Model agreement across sources shows minimal precipitation risk and daytime highs of 35-37°C, consistent with late-August climatology under regional high pressure. The closely matched market probabilities on extremes (23°C or below vs. 33°C or higher) versus clustered values near 27-28°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, such as minor variations in cloud cover or wind that could alter the diurnal range by 1-2°C. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 25?
23°C or below 43%
32°C 41%
33°C or higher 41%
27°C 28%
23°C or below
43%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
28%
28°C
28%
29°C
21%
30°C
21%
31°C
1%
32°C
41%
33°C or higher
41%
23°C or below 43%
32°C 41%
33°C or higher 41%
27°C 28%
23°C or below
43%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
28%
28°C
28%
29°C
21%
30°C
21%
31°C
1%
32°C
41%
33°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature near 28°C for Wuhan on August 25, 2026, driven by a persistent warm, moist subtropical air mass with high dew points and light easterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** High overnight humidity (typically 60-80%) and urban heat retention in the Yangtze River valley keep lows elevated despite mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions expected that night. Model agreement across sources shows minimal precipitation risk and daytime highs of 35-37°C, consistent with late-August climatology under regional high pressure. The closely matched market probabilities on extremes (23°C or below vs. 33°C or higher) versus clustered values near 27-28°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, such as minor variations in cloud cover or wind that could alter the diurnal range by 1-2°C. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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