Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicates Wuhan minimum temperatures near 25–27°C on August 23 amid typical late-summer conditions, with daytime highs of 33–35°C and patchy rain possible. Trader emphasis on 22°C or below as the leading outcome (44% implied probability) likely incorporates uncertainty from regional moisture patterns and recent typhoon activity farther east, which can enhance nocturnal radiative cooling or increase cloud cover. Historical August lows average near 27°C, yet model spreads allow for brief dips if steering flows or local convection strengthen. Upcoming updated runs from Chinese meteorological centers and refined ensemble guidance will clarify whether these cooler scenarios gain traction or if consensus holds around the 25–28°C range reflected in secondary market prices.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 23?
22°C or below 79%
32°C or higher 51%
30°C 50%
31°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
79%
23°C
40%
24°C
21%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
33%
28°C
30%
29°C
26%
30°C
50%
31°C
50%
32°C or higher
51%
22°C or below 79%
32°C or higher 51%
30°C 50%
31°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Обс.
79%
23°C
$5 Обс.
40%
24°C
$0 Обс.
21%
25°C
$0 Обс.
26%
26°C
$0 Обс.
26%
27°C
$0 Обс.
33%
28°C
$0 Обс.
30%
29°C
$0 Обс.
26%
30°C
$5 Обс.
50%
31°C
$5 Обс.
50%
32°C or higher
$5 Обс.
51%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicates Wuhan minimum temperatures near 25–27°C on August 23 amid typical late-summer conditions, with daytime highs of 33–35°C and patchy rain possible. Trader emphasis on 22°C or below as the leading outcome (44% implied probability) likely incorporates uncertainty from regional moisture patterns and recent typhoon activity farther east, which can enhance nocturnal radiative cooling or increase cloud cover. Historical August lows average near 27°C, yet model spreads allow for brief dips if steering flows or local convection strengthen. Upcoming updated runs from Chinese meteorological centers and refined ensemble guidance will clarify whether these cooler scenarios gain traction or if consensus holds around the 25–28°C range reflected in secondary market prices.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$25Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicates Wuhan minimum temperatures near 25–27°C on August 23 amid typical late-summer conditions, with daytime highs of 33–35°C and patchy rain possible. Trader emphasis on 22°C or below as the leading outcome (44% implied probability) likely incorporates uncertainty from regional moisture patterns and recent typhoon activity farther east, which can enhance nocturnal radiative cooling or increase cloud cover. Historical August lows average near 27°C, yet model spreads allow for brief dips if steering flows or local convection strengthen. Upcoming updated runs from Chinese meteorological centers and refined ensemble guidance will clarify whether these cooler scenarios gain traction or if consensus holds around the 25–28°C range reflected in secondary market prices.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$25Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicates Wuhan minimum temperatures near 25–27°C on August 23 amid typical late-summer conditions, with daytime highs of 33–35°C and patchy rain possible. Trader emphasis on 22°C or below as the leading outcome (44% implied probability) likely incorporates uncertainty from regional moisture patterns and recent typhoon activity farther east, which can enhance nocturnal radiative cooling or increase cloud cover. Historical August lows average near 27°C, yet model spreads allow for brief dips if steering flows or local convection strengthen. Upcoming updated runs from Chinese meteorological centers and refined ensemble guidance will clarify whether these cooler scenarios gain traction or if consensus holds around the 25–28°C range reflected in secondary market prices.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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