Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate highest temperatures in Paris on August 25 likely centered around 26–28°C, driving the tight market-implied odds favoring 27°C at 33%. Key differentiating factors include uncertainty in high-pressure ridge positioning, which modulates subsidence and clear-sky radiation, alongside variable low-level moisture and light northerly flow that could cap daytime maxima. Ensemble spreads reflect typical late-summer variability, with urban heat-island effects potentially adding 1–2°C locally. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?
27°C 33%
26°C 23%
28°C 18%
25°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
23%
27°C
33%
28°C
18%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 33%
26°C 23%
28°C 18%
25°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$354 Обс.
2%
23°C
$198 Обс.
2%
24°C
$173 Обс.
2%
25°C
$320 Обс.
11%
26°C
$446 Обс.
23%
27°C
$493 Обс.
33%
28°C
$372 Обс.
18%
29°C
$163 Обс.
7%
30°C
$79 Обс.
2%
31°C
$35 Обс.
2%
32°C or higher
$5 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate highest temperatures in Paris on August 25 likely centered around 26–28°C, driving the tight market-implied odds favoring 27°C at 33%. Key differentiating factors include uncertainty in high-pressure ridge positioning, which modulates subsidence and clear-sky radiation, alongside variable low-level moisture and light northerly flow that could cap daytime maxima. Ensemble spreads reflect typical late-summer variability, with urban heat-island effects potentially adding 1–2°C locally. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,624Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate highest temperatures in Paris on August 25 likely centered around 26–28°C, driving the tight market-implied odds favoring 27°C at 33%. Key differentiating factors include uncertainty in high-pressure ridge positioning, which modulates subsidence and clear-sky radiation, alongside variable low-level moisture and light northerly flow that could cap daytime maxima. Ensemble spreads reflect typical late-summer variability, with urban heat-island effects potentially adding 1–2°C locally. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,624Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate highest temperatures in Paris on August 25 likely centered around 26–28°C, driving the tight market-implied odds favoring 27°C at 33%. Key differentiating factors include uncertainty in high-pressure ridge positioning, which modulates subsidence and clear-sky radiation, alongside variable low-level moisture and light northerly flow that could cap daytime maxima. Ensemble spreads reflect typical late-summer variability, with urban heat-island effects potentially adding 1–2°C locally. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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