Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate moderating conditions for Istanbul on August 27, with daytime maxima shaped by northeasterly winds and partial cloud cover that limit peak heating. This aligns with the late-August climatological average high near 28–29 °C and follows a cooling trend after recent days near 32 °C. Ensemble spreads and slight model disagreement on boundary-layer moisture and wind strength introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum, concentrating trader-implied probabilities on 27 °C and 28 °C while assigning low weight to 29 °C or higher outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 27?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 27?
27°C 52%
28°C 33%
26°C 15%
29°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
15%
27°C
52%
28°C
33%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 33%
26°C 15%
29°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
$60 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$5 Обс.
1%
25°C
$126 Обс.
1%
26°C
$562 Обс.
15%
27°C
$973 Обс.
52%
28°C
$349 Обс.
33%
29°C
$178 Обс.
5%
30°C
$116 Обс.
1%
31°C
$121 Обс.
1%
32°C
$116 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$126 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate moderating conditions for Istanbul on August 27, with daytime maxima shaped by northeasterly winds and partial cloud cover that limit peak heating. This aligns with the late-August climatological average high near 28–29 °C and follows a cooling trend after recent days near 32 °C. Ensemble spreads and slight model disagreement on boundary-layer moisture and wind strength introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum, concentrating trader-implied probabilities on 27 °C and 28 °C while assigning low weight to 29 °C or higher outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,731Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate moderating conditions for Istanbul on August 27, with daytime maxima shaped by northeasterly winds and partial cloud cover that limit peak heating. This aligns with the late-August climatological average high near 28–29 °C and follows a cooling trend after recent days near 32 °C. Ensemble spreads and slight model disagreement on boundary-layer moisture and wind strength introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum, concentrating trader-implied probabilities on 27 °C and 28 °C while assigning low weight to 29 °C or higher outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,731Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate moderating conditions for Istanbul on August 27, with daytime maxima shaped by northeasterly winds and partial cloud cover that limit peak heating. This aligns with the late-August climatological average high near 28–29 °C and follows a cooling trend after recent days near 32 °C. Ensemble spreads and slight model disagreement on boundary-layer moisture and wind strength introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum, concentrating trader-implied probabilities on 27 °C and 28 °C while assigning low weight to 29 °C or higher outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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