Forecast models from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and GFS ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Moscow on August 28 most likely between 19–20 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and surface pressure near 1026 hPa that limits daytime heating. These conditions reflect the typical late-August seasonal decline from peak summer values, with reduced insolation and northerly flow suppressing warmer advection. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19 °C (50 % implied probability) while still assigning meaningful odds to 20 °C (25.5 %) if afternoon clearing allows modest additional warming. Lower outcomes remain possible only if thicker cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly component develops overnight into the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
19°C 49%
20°C 30%
18°C 14%
21°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
14%
19°C
49%
20°C
30%
21°C
6%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 49%
20°C 30%
18°C 14%
21°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
13°C or below
$179 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$303 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$399 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$220 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$127 Обс.
3%
18°C
$448 Обс.
14%
19°C
$1,206 Обс.
49%
20°C
$345 Обс.
30%
21°C
$146 Обс.
6%
22°C
$139 Обс.
<1%
23°C or higher
$151 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and GFS ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Moscow on August 28 most likely between 19–20 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and surface pressure near 1026 hPa that limits daytime heating. These conditions reflect the typical late-August seasonal decline from peak summer values, with reduced insolation and northerly flow suppressing warmer advection. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19 °C (50 % implied probability) while still assigning meaningful odds to 20 °C (25.5 %) if afternoon clearing allows modest additional warming. Lower outcomes remain possible only if thicker cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly component develops overnight into the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,662Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and GFS ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Moscow on August 28 most likely between 19–20 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and surface pressure near 1026 hPa that limits daytime heating. These conditions reflect the typical late-August seasonal decline from peak summer values, with reduced insolation and northerly flow suppressing warmer advection. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19 °C (50 % implied probability) while still assigning meaningful odds to 20 °C (25.5 %) if afternoon clearing allows modest additional warming. Lower outcomes remain possible only if thicker cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly component develops overnight into the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,662Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and GFS ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Moscow on August 28 most likely between 19–20 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and surface pressure near 1026 hPa that limits daytime heating. These conditions reflect the typical late-August seasonal decline from peak summer values, with reduced insolation and northerly flow suppressing warmer advection. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19 °C (50 % implied probability) while still assigning meaningful odds to 20 °C (25.5 %) if afternoon clearing allows modest additional warming. Lower outcomes remain possible only if thicker cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly component develops overnight into the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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