Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Luzon, including Metro Manila, drives heavy cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit solar insolation and cap daytime heating on August 29. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models (GFS, ECMWF) project maximum temperatures of 27–29 °C under these conditions, with strong southwesterly winds further enhancing mixing and evaporative cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 29 °C (44 %) and 28 °C (30 %), as traders weigh the monsoon’s consistent suppression of peaks below the month’s typical 30–31 °C average. No immediate shifts in steering patterns or model consensus appear likely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 29?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 29?
29°C 44%
28°C 32%
30°C 16%
27°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
32%
29°C
44%
30°C
16%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 44%
28°C 32%
30°C 16%
27°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
$301 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$301 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$194 Обс.
2%
26°C
$91 Обс.
4%
27°C
$679 Обс.
8%
28°C
$1,865 Обс.
32%
29°C
$956 Обс.
44%
30°C
$521 Обс.
16%
31°C
$389 Обс.
4%
32°C
$238 Обс.
1%
33°C or higher
$375 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Luzon, including Metro Manila, drives heavy cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit solar insolation and cap daytime heating on August 29. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models (GFS, ECMWF) project maximum temperatures of 27–29 °C under these conditions, with strong southwesterly winds further enhancing mixing and evaporative cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 29 °C (44 %) and 28 °C (30 %), as traders weigh the monsoon’s consistent suppression of peaks below the month’s typical 30–31 °C average. No immediate shifts in steering patterns or model consensus appear likely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,911Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Luzon, including Metro Manila, drives heavy cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit solar insolation and cap daytime heating on August 29. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models (GFS, ECMWF) project maximum temperatures of 27–29 °C under these conditions, with strong southwesterly winds further enhancing mixing and evaporative cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 29 °C (44 %) and 28 °C (30 %), as traders weigh the monsoon’s consistent suppression of peaks below the month’s typical 30–31 °C average. No immediate shifts in steering patterns or model consensus appear likely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,911Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Luzon, including Metro Manila, drives heavy cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit solar insolation and cap daytime heating on August 29. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models (GFS, ECMWF) project maximum temperatures of 27–29 °C under these conditions, with strong southwesterly winds further enhancing mixing and evaporative cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 29 °C (44 %) and 28 °C (30 %), as traders weigh the monsoon’s consistent suppression of peaks below the month’s typical 30–31 °C average. No immediate shifts in steering patterns or model consensus appear likely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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