Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon drives the closely matched market odds for Manila’s August 29 minimum temperature. Thick cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows most likely in the 25–27 °C range according to PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity and frequent precipitation further suppress temperature drops, while any brief clear spells or lighter wind could allow brief dips toward 24 °C or below. Conversely, persistent overcast and warm advection from the monsoon flow support the non-negligible probability attached to 31 °C or higher if daytime heat lingers into the evening. Updated PAGASA regional outlooks and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 29?
31°C or higher 60%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
25°C 29%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
8%
22°C
7%
23°C
24%
24°C
28%
25°C
29%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
60%
31°C or higher 60%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
25°C 29%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$135 Обс.
8%
22°C
$54 Обс.
7%
23°C
$34 Обс.
24%
24°C
$0 Обс.
28%
25°C
$0 Обс.
29%
26°C
$0 Обс.
27%
27°C
$0 Обс.
26%
28°C
$5 Обс.
49%
29°C
$5 Обс.
49%
30°C
$5 Обс.
2%
31°C or higher
$5 Обс.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon drives the closely matched market odds for Manila’s August 29 minimum temperature. Thick cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows most likely in the 25–27 °C range according to PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity and frequent precipitation further suppress temperature drops, while any brief clear spells or lighter wind could allow brief dips toward 24 °C or below. Conversely, persistent overcast and warm advection from the monsoon flow support the non-negligible probability attached to 31 °C or higher if daytime heat lingers into the evening. Updated PAGASA regional outlooks and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$243Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon drives the closely matched market odds for Manila’s August 29 minimum temperature. Thick cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows most likely in the 25–27 °C range according to PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity and frequent precipitation further suppress temperature drops, while any brief clear spells or lighter wind could allow brief dips toward 24 °C or below. Conversely, persistent overcast and warm advection from the monsoon flow support the non-negligible probability attached to 31 °C or higher if daytime heat lingers into the evening. Updated PAGASA regional outlooks and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$243Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across Luzon drives the closely matched market odds for Manila’s August 29 minimum temperature. Thick cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows most likely in the 25–27 °C range according to PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity and frequent precipitation further suppress temperature drops, while any brief clear spells or lighter wind could allow brief dips toward 24 °C or below. Conversely, persistent overcast and warm advection from the monsoon flow support the non-negligible probability attached to 31 °C or higher if daytime heat lingers into the evening. Updated PAGASA regional outlooks and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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