Warm airmass advection and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies position the lowest temperature in São Paulo on August 29 around 21–22°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those bins. Official forecasts from multiple models show overnight minima near 21.2°C after daytime peaks of 30–35°C, consistent with a late-winter warm anomaly several degrees above the August climatological low of ~12°C. Clear to partly cloudy conditions and light northwest winds have suppressed stronger cooling, while a approaching cold front and associated moisture are not expected until early September. Updated model runs continue to support this range, with traders incorporating the absence of significant cold-air intrusion or precipitation that could alter overnight temperatures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
18°C 1%
19°C 1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$1,520 Обс.
$1,520 Обс.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
29%
21°C
38%
22°C
70%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 1%
19°C 1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$1,520 Обс.
$1,520 Обс.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
29%
21°C
38%
22°C
70%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Warm airmass advection and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies position the lowest temperature in São Paulo on August 29 around 21–22°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those bins. Official forecasts from multiple models show overnight minima near 21.2°C after daytime peaks of 30–35°C, consistent with a late-winter warm anomaly several degrees above the August climatological low of ~12°C. Clear to partly cloudy conditions and light northwest winds have suppressed stronger cooling, while a approaching cold front and associated moisture are not expected until early September. Updated model runs continue to support this range, with traders incorporating the absence of significant cold-air intrusion or precipitation that could alter overnight temperatures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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