Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a low of 57°F on August 31 in San Francisco, aligning with trader emphasis on the 56–59°F brackets. Persistent southwest onshore flow and a moderate marine layer are moderating overnight radiational cooling typical of the city’s coastal microclimate, keeping minimums near the long-term August average of 56°F. With no incoming trough or offshore wind event expected before resolution, forecast confidence remains high yet sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed that could nudge the reading one degree either way. Updated model runs and official briefings through the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31?
52-53°F 49%
62-63°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
58-59°F 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
3%
48-49°F
10%
50-51°F
10%
52-53°F
49%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
31%
58-59°F
36%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66°F or higher
28%
52-53°F 49%
62-63°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
58-59°F 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
$138 Обс.
3%
48-49°F
$0 Обс.
10%
50-51°F
$0 Обс.
10%
52-53°F
$0 Обс.
49%
54-55°F
$0 Обс.
26%
56-57°F
$0 Обс.
31%
58-59°F
$0 Обс.
36%
60-61°F
$0 Обс.
25%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
49%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
49%
66°F or higher
$0 Обс.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a low of 57°F on August 31 in San Francisco, aligning with trader emphasis on the 56–59°F brackets. Persistent southwest onshore flow and a moderate marine layer are moderating overnight radiational cooling typical of the city’s coastal microclimate, keeping minimums near the long-term August average of 56°F. With no incoming trough or offshore wind event expected before resolution, forecast confidence remains high yet sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed that could nudge the reading one degree either way. Updated model runs and official briefings through the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$138Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a low of 57°F on August 31 in San Francisco, aligning with trader emphasis on the 56–59°F brackets. Persistent southwest onshore flow and a moderate marine layer are moderating overnight radiational cooling typical of the city’s coastal microclimate, keeping minimums near the long-term August average of 56°F. With no incoming trough or offshore wind event expected before resolution, forecast confidence remains high yet sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed that could nudge the reading one degree either way. Updated model runs and official briefings through the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$138Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a low of 57°F on August 31 in San Francisco, aligning with trader emphasis on the 56–59°F brackets. Persistent southwest onshore flow and a moderate marine layer are moderating overnight radiational cooling typical of the city’s coastal microclimate, keeping minimums near the long-term August average of 56°F. With no incoming trough or offshore wind event expected before resolution, forecast confidence remains high yet sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed that could nudge the reading one degree either way. Updated model runs and official briefings through the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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