Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a San Francisco overnight minimum near 55–56 °F on August 30, driven by a persistent marine layer, light-to-moderate onshore flow, and coastal upwelling that maintains adjacent Pacific waters around 55–58 °F. These conditions produce a strong temperature inversion that limits radiative cooling while stratus and southwest winds of 10–15 mph promote mixing. Trader consensus clusters on the 56–59 °F bins because small differences in marine-layer depth, exact wind timing, or brief clearing can shift the recorded low by 1–3 °F at the SFO station. Historical August 30 averages near 56 °F reinforce this narrow range, with probabilities reflecting model spread rather than major forecast shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 30?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 30?
54-55°F 52%
64-65°F 50%
62-63°F 49%
56-57°F 34%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
21%
52-53°F
23%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
29%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
50%
66°F or higher
15%
54-55°F 52%
64-65°F 50%
62-63°F 49%
56-57°F 34%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
47°F or below
$263 Обс.
1%
48-49°F
$31 Обс.
2%
50-51°F
$5 Обс.
21%
52-53°F
$0 Обс.
23%
54-55°F
$64 Обс.
28%
56-57°F
$0 Обс.
34%
58-59°F
$0 Обс.
29%
60-61°F
$0 Обс.
26%
62-63°F
$20 Обс.
49%
64-65°F
$75 Обс.
50%
66°F or higher
$10 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a San Francisco overnight minimum near 55–56 °F on August 30, driven by a persistent marine layer, light-to-moderate onshore flow, and coastal upwelling that maintains adjacent Pacific waters around 55–58 °F. These conditions produce a strong temperature inversion that limits radiative cooling while stratus and southwest winds of 10–15 mph promote mixing. Trader consensus clusters on the 56–59 °F bins because small differences in marine-layer depth, exact wind timing, or brief clearing can shift the recorded low by 1–3 °F at the SFO station. Historical August 30 averages near 56 °F reinforce this narrow range, with probabilities reflecting model spread rather than major forecast shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$469Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a San Francisco overnight minimum near 55–56 °F on August 30, driven by a persistent marine layer, light-to-moderate onshore flow, and coastal upwelling that maintains adjacent Pacific waters around 55–58 °F. These conditions produce a strong temperature inversion that limits radiative cooling while stratus and southwest winds of 10–15 mph promote mixing. Trader consensus clusters on the 56–59 °F bins because small differences in marine-layer depth, exact wind timing, or brief clearing can shift the recorded low by 1–3 °F at the SFO station. Historical August 30 averages near 56 °F reinforce this narrow range, with probabilities reflecting model spread rather than major forecast shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$469Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a San Francisco overnight minimum near 55–56 °F on August 30, driven by a persistent marine layer, light-to-moderate onshore flow, and coastal upwelling that maintains adjacent Pacific waters around 55–58 °F. These conditions produce a strong temperature inversion that limits radiative cooling while stratus and southwest winds of 10–15 mph promote mixing. Trader consensus clusters on the 56–59 °F bins because small differences in marine-layer depth, exact wind timing, or brief clearing can shift the recorded low by 1–3 °F at the SFO station. Historical August 30 averages near 56 °F reinforce this narrow range, with probabilities reflecting model spread rather than major forecast shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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