**Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 27–34°C in Taipei on August 29, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with afternoon brief thunderstorms.** This range, driven by increased cloud cover and convective activity compared with the clearer, hotter conditions of recent days (highs reaching 35–36°C), positions 34–35°C as the most probable peak. Model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and ECMWF-derived outlooks clusters around 32–34°C, with higher-end runs occasionally touching 35°C if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation before storms develop. Afternoon thunderstorms, typical in late-summer Taiwan, introduce key uncertainty: they can cap temperatures through shading and evaporative cooling but may arrive after the daily maximum is reached. Historical August climatology (average highs near 32°C) and the current steering pattern favoring onshore flow further temper expectations for extreme heat. Traders have assigned the highest implied probabilities to 35°C (44%), 34°C (22.5%), and 36°C (22%), reflecting this narrow forecast window and the potential for small timing or intensity shifts in convection to push the observed high one degree either side of the official guidance. Updated model runs and CWA briefings closer to the event remain the primary near-term catalysts.