Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on August 27, with partly sunny skies, south winds of 10-15 mph, and a 60-70% chance of showers or thunderstorms developing by afternoon. These conditions, including increased cloud cover and potential heavy rainfall, are expected to limit peak heating compared to clearer days, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin. Historical climatology shows an average high near 82°F for the date, but the current setup favors modest suppression of maxima, while the low odds on 84°F+ reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or delayed storm timing. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 27?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 27?
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 19%
76-77°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 19%
76-77°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
69°F or below
$173 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
2%
72-73°F
$66 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$22 Обс.
3%
76-77°F
$2 Обс.
6%
78-79°F
$155 Обс.
19%
80-81°F
$94 Обс.
45%
82-83°F
$67 Обс.
26%
84-85°F
$495 Обс.
5%
86-87°F
$25 Обс.
2%
88°F or higher
$57 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on August 27, with partly sunny skies, south winds of 10-15 mph, and a 60-70% chance of showers or thunderstorms developing by afternoon. These conditions, including increased cloud cover and potential heavy rainfall, are expected to limit peak heating compared to clearer days, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin. Historical climatology shows an average high near 82°F for the date, but the current setup favors modest suppression of maxima, while the low odds on 84°F+ reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or delayed storm timing. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,157Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on August 27, with partly sunny skies, south winds of 10-15 mph, and a 60-70% chance of showers or thunderstorms developing by afternoon. These conditions, including increased cloud cover and potential heavy rainfall, are expected to limit peak heating compared to clearer days, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin. Historical climatology shows an average high near 82°F for the date, but the current setup favors modest suppression of maxima, while the low odds on 84°F+ reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or delayed storm timing. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,157Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on August 27, with partly sunny skies, south winds of 10-15 mph, and a 60-70% chance of showers or thunderstorms developing by afternoon. These conditions, including increased cloud cover and potential heavy rainfall, are expected to limit peak heating compared to clearer days, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin. Historical climatology shows an average high near 82°F for the date, but the current setup favors modest suppression of maxima, while the low odds on 84°F+ reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or delayed storm timing. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання