A reinforced marine layer over the San Francisco Bay Area is moderating daytime heating on August 25, 2026, keeping the highest temperature likely near 70–73°F at official reporting stations. Onshore northwest flow and stratus lingering into midday limit solar insolation, consistent with NWS guidance showing highs around 69–72°F and climatological August averages near 69°F. Recent model runs indicate minimal warming compared with the 76–77°F peak recorded two days earlier, when a shallower layer allowed greater afternoon rise. Key variables include exact marine-layer depth, wind speeds exceeding 15 mph, and precise timing of any stratus burn-off, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Traders are weighting these coastal dynamics heavily given the tight spread between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
72-73°F 43%
70-71°F 38%
74-75°F 11%
68-69°F 9%
НОВЕ
$11,966 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,966 Обс.
Aug 25, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
43%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 43%
70-71°F 38%
74-75°F 11%
68-69°F 9%
НОВЕ
$11,966 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,966 Обс.
Aug 25, 2026
63°F or below
$239 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$424 Обс.
1%
66-67°F
$1,070 Обс.
2%
68-69°F
$565 Обс.
9%
70-71°F
$2,018 Обс.
38%
72-73°F
$1,653 Обс.
43%
74-75°F
$2,125 Обс.
11%
76-77°F
$1,152 Обс.
1%
78-79°F
$1,152 Обс.
1%
80-81°F
$1,186 Обс.
<1%
82°F or higher
$381 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A reinforced marine layer over the San Francisco Bay Area is moderating daytime heating on August 25, 2026, keeping the highest temperature likely near 70–73°F at official reporting stations. Onshore northwest flow and stratus lingering into midday limit solar insolation, consistent with NWS guidance showing highs around 69–72°F and climatological August averages near 69°F. Recent model runs indicate minimal warming compared with the 76–77°F peak recorded two days earlier, when a shallower layer allowed greater afternoon rise. Key variables include exact marine-layer depth, wind speeds exceeding 15 mph, and precise timing of any stratus burn-off, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Traders are weighting these coastal dynamics heavily given the tight spread between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$11,966Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A reinforced marine layer over the San Francisco Bay Area is moderating daytime heating on August 25, 2026, keeping the highest temperature likely near 70–73°F at official reporting stations. Onshore northwest flow and stratus lingering into midday limit solar insolation, consistent with NWS guidance showing highs around 69–72°F and climatological August averages near 69°F. Recent model runs indicate minimal warming compared with the 76–77°F peak recorded two days earlier, when a shallower layer allowed greater afternoon rise. Key variables include exact marine-layer depth, wind speeds exceeding 15 mph, and precise timing of any stratus burn-off, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Traders are weighting these coastal dynamics heavily given the tight spread between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,966Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...A reinforced marine layer over the San Francisco Bay Area is moderating daytime heating on August 25, 2026, keeping the highest temperature likely near 70–73°F at official reporting stations. Onshore northwest flow and stratus lingering into midday limit solar insolation, consistent with NWS guidance showing highs around 69–72°F and climatological August averages near 69°F. Recent model runs indicate minimal warming compared with the 76–77°F peak recorded two days earlier, when a shallower layer allowed greater afternoon rise. Key variables include exact marine-layer depth, wind speeds exceeding 15 mph, and precise timing of any stratus burn-off, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Traders are weighting these coastal dynamics heavily given the tight spread between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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