Recent observations and official forecasts for São Paulo on August 26 show overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C under persistent cloud cover and light instability from a continental low-pressure system. This setup limits radiational cooling compared to clear-sky conditions typical of winter minima, while elevated humidity and light winds further moderate temperature drops. Leading market probabilities for 13°C and 15°C reflect tight model spreads in minimum temperature guidance and ongoing uncertainty around exact timing of any clearing or light precipitation that could nudge readings lower or higher by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between climatological August averages near 12°C and today’s above-normal cloudiness supporting a milder outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 26?
16°C 49%
15°C 49%
14°C 6%
13°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
6%
15°C
49%
16°C
26%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 49%
15°C 49%
14°C 6%
13°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
10°C or below
$655 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$5 Обс.
2%
12°C
$79 Обс.
1%
13°C
$10 Обс.
4%
14°C
$6 Обс.
6%
15°C
$0 Обс.
49%
16°C
$2 Обс.
26%
17°C
$242 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$72 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$50 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$45 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations and official forecasts for São Paulo on August 26 show overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C under persistent cloud cover and light instability from a continental low-pressure system. This setup limits radiational cooling compared to clear-sky conditions typical of winter minima, while elevated humidity and light winds further moderate temperature drops. Leading market probabilities for 13°C and 15°C reflect tight model spreads in minimum temperature guidance and ongoing uncertainty around exact timing of any clearing or light precipitation that could nudge readings lower or higher by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between climatological August averages near 12°C and today’s above-normal cloudiness supporting a milder outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,166Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations and official forecasts for São Paulo on August 26 show overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C under persistent cloud cover and light instability from a continental low-pressure system. This setup limits radiational cooling compared to clear-sky conditions typical of winter minima, while elevated humidity and light winds further moderate temperature drops. Leading market probabilities for 13°C and 15°C reflect tight model spreads in minimum temperature guidance and ongoing uncertainty around exact timing of any clearing or light precipitation that could nudge readings lower or higher by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between climatological August averages near 12°C and today’s above-normal cloudiness supporting a milder outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,166Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observations and official forecasts for São Paulo on August 26 show overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C under persistent cloud cover and light instability from a continental low-pressure system. This setup limits radiational cooling compared to clear-sky conditions typical of winter minima, while elevated humidity and light winds further moderate temperature drops. Leading market probabilities for 13°C and 15°C reflect tight model spreads in minimum temperature guidance and ongoing uncertainty around exact timing of any clearing or light precipitation that could nudge readings lower or higher by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between climatological August averages near 12°C and today’s above-normal cloudiness supporting a milder outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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