Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show ensemble spreads centered on daily maximum temperatures of 25–26°C for London on August 26, with the tightest clustering between those two outcomes driving the near-even market odds. Late-summer synoptic patterns, including a possible Atlantic ridge and light southeasterly flow, support modest warming above seasonal normals around 22°C, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and thus exact highs. Diurnal temperature ranges and urban heat-island effects further differentiate the 24–27°C band, with resolution hinging on official observations at sites such as Heathrow. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the probability distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 26?
Highest temperature in London on August 26?
25°C 27%
26°C 26%
27°C 15%
24°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
14%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
15%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 27%
26°C 26%
27°C 15%
24°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Обс.
2%
23°C
$503 Обс.
7%
24°C
$362 Обс.
14%
25°C
$583 Обс.
27%
26°C
$601 Обс.
26%
27°C
$396 Обс.
15%
28°C
$71 Обс.
7%
29°C
$197 Обс.
4%
30°C
$8 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$440 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$440 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show ensemble spreads centered on daily maximum temperatures of 25–26°C for London on August 26, with the tightest clustering between those two outcomes driving the near-even market odds. Late-summer synoptic patterns, including a possible Atlantic ridge and light southeasterly flow, support modest warming above seasonal normals around 22°C, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and thus exact highs. Diurnal temperature ranges and urban heat-island effects further differentiate the 24–27°C band, with resolution hinging on official observations at sites such as Heathrow. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the probability distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,605Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show ensemble spreads centered on daily maximum temperatures of 25–26°C for London on August 26, with the tightest clustering between those two outcomes driving the near-even market odds. Late-summer synoptic patterns, including a possible Atlantic ridge and light southeasterly flow, support modest warming above seasonal normals around 22°C, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and thus exact highs. Diurnal temperature ranges and urban heat-island effects further differentiate the 24–27°C band, with resolution hinging on official observations at sites such as Heathrow. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the probability distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,605Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show ensemble spreads centered on daily maximum temperatures of 25–26°C for London on August 26, with the tightest clustering between those two outcomes driving the near-even market odds. Late-summer synoptic patterns, including a possible Atlantic ridge and light southeasterly flow, support modest warming above seasonal normals around 22°C, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and thus exact highs. Diurnal temperature ranges and urban heat-island effects further differentiate the 24–27°C band, with resolution hinging on official observations at sites such as Heathrow. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the probability distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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