**Forecast models for Qingdao on August 26, 2026, currently point to a high near 28–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, yet Polymarket odds place the greatest implied probability (34.5 %) on 33 °C.** This spread reflects genuine short-range uncertainty two days out. Key variables include daytime cloud cover and solar insolation—clearer breaks would allow stronger surface heating—along with boundary-layer wind direction and speed; a shift to lighter southerlies or reduced sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea could add 2–4 °C. Model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) and any late updates on low-level moisture or weak trough passages will drive revisions. Recent days have seen highs of 29–30 °C with mixed skies, providing a warm baseline but also showing how quickly coastal conditions can change. Traders are therefore balancing the most likely 28–30 °C range against the non-negligible chance of stronger warming if skies clear more than expected, which explains the relatively flat probability distribution across 31–34 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 26?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 26?
33°C 35%
32°C 22%
34°C 20%
31°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
22%
33°C
35%
34°C
20%
35°C or higher
6%
33°C 35%
32°C 22%
34°C 20%
31°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$0 Обс.
1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
1%
30°C
$5 Обс.
4%
31°C
$0 Обс.
13%
32°C
$0 Обс.
22%
33°C
$5 Обс.
35%
34°C
$12 Обс.
20%
35°C or higher
$24 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Qingdao on August 26, 2026, currently point to a high near 28–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, yet Polymarket odds place the greatest implied probability (34.5 %) on 33 °C.**
This spread reflects genuine short-range uncertainty two days out. Key variables include daytime cloud cover and solar insolation—clearer breaks would allow stronger surface heating—along with boundary-layer wind direction and speed; a shift to lighter southerlies or reduced sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea could add 2–4 °C. Model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) and any late updates on low-level moisture or weak trough passages will drive revisions. Recent days have seen highs of 29–30 °C with mixed skies, providing a warm baseline but also showing how quickly coastal conditions can change.
Traders are therefore balancing the most likely 28–30 °C range against the non-negligible chance of stronger warming if skies clear more than expected, which explains the relatively flat probability distribution across 31–34 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$46Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Qingdao on August 26, 2026, currently point to a high near 28–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, yet Polymarket odds place the greatest implied probability (34.5 %) on 33 °C.**
This spread reflects genuine short-range uncertainty two days out. Key variables include daytime cloud cover and solar insolation—clearer breaks would allow stronger surface heating—along with boundary-layer wind direction and speed; a shift to lighter southerlies or reduced sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea could add 2–4 °C. Model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) and any late updates on low-level moisture or weak trough passages will drive revisions. Recent days have seen highs of 29–30 °C with mixed skies, providing a warm baseline but also showing how quickly coastal conditions can change.
Traders are therefore balancing the most likely 28–30 °C range against the non-negligible chance of stronger warming if skies clear more than expected, which explains the relatively flat probability distribution across 31–34 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$46Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Qingdao on August 26, 2026, currently point to a high near 28–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, yet Polymarket odds place the greatest implied probability (34.5 %) on 33 °C.** This spread reflects genuine short-range uncertainty two days out. Key variables include daytime cloud cover and solar insolation—clearer breaks would allow stronger surface heating—along with boundary-layer wind direction and speed; a shift to lighter southerlies or reduced sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea could add 2–4 °C. Model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) and any late updates on low-level moisture or weak trough passages will drive revisions. Recent days have seen highs of 29–30 °C with mixed skies, providing a warm baseline but also showing how quickly coastal conditions can change. Traders are therefore balancing the most likely 28–30 °C range against the non-negligible chance of stronger warming if skies clear more than expected, which explains the relatively flat probability distribution across 31–34 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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