National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 105°F in Austin on August 23 amid an ongoing late-summer heatwave, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions favoring strong daytime radiative heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge. This official guidance, consistent with recent model runs showing 103–106°F peaks, underpins the market’s leading implied probability of 53.5% for 104–105°F and 31.5% for 106–107°F. Modest ensemble spread and station-specific variations introduce the observed uncertainty, while broader August climatology (average highs near 100°F) and the current heat advisory highlight the elevated baseline. Updated NWS briefings and final model runs before resolution will provide the next key data points for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on August 23?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 23?
104-105°F 53%
106-107°F 32%
102-103°F 16%
100-101°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
53%
106-107°F
32%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
2%
114°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 53%
106-107°F 32%
102-103°F 16%
100-101°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
95°F or below
$80 Обс.
<1%
96-97°F
$87 Обс.
1%
98-99°F
$26 Обс.
1%
100-101°F
$11 Обс.
4%
102-103°F
$99 Обс.
16%
104-105°F
$145 Обс.
53%
106-107°F
$65 Обс.
32%
108-109°F
$47 Обс.
3%
110-111°F
$22 Обс.
1%
112-113°F
$26 Обс.
2%
114°F or higher
$18 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 105°F in Austin on August 23 amid an ongoing late-summer heatwave, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions favoring strong daytime radiative heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge. This official guidance, consistent with recent model runs showing 103–106°F peaks, underpins the market’s leading implied probability of 53.5% for 104–105°F and 31.5% for 106–107°F. Modest ensemble spread and station-specific variations introduce the observed uncertainty, while broader August climatology (average highs near 100°F) and the current heat advisory highlight the elevated baseline. Updated NWS briefings and final model runs before resolution will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$625Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 105°F in Austin on August 23 amid an ongoing late-summer heatwave, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions favoring strong daytime radiative heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge. This official guidance, consistent with recent model runs showing 103–106°F peaks, underpins the market’s leading implied probability of 53.5% for 104–105°F and 31.5% for 106–107°F. Modest ensemble spread and station-specific variations introduce the observed uncertainty, while broader August climatology (average highs near 100°F) and the current heat advisory highlight the elevated baseline. Updated NWS briefings and final model runs before resolution will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$625Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 105°F in Austin on August 23 amid an ongoing late-summer heatwave, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions favoring strong daytime radiative heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge. This official guidance, consistent with recent model runs showing 103–106°F peaks, underpins the market’s leading implied probability of 53.5% for 104–105°F and 31.5% for 106–107°F. Modest ensemble spread and station-specific variations introduce the observed uncertainty, while broader August climatology (average highs near 100°F) and the current heat advisory highlight the elevated baseline. Updated NWS briefings and final model runs before resolution will provide the next key data points for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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