Persistent upper-level ridging over the southern Plains continues to suppress cloud cover and limit radiational cooling in central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance projecting an overnight low near 80°F for Austin on August 23 amid south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph and dew points in the upper 60s. This aligns with model consensus showing minimal temperature drop after sunset under mostly clear skies, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 73°F. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds, with leading market-implied odds clustered near 71°F or below and 76–77°F bins, as small forecast adjustments from steering patterns or brief moisture could shift outcomes within the 74–81°F range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Austin on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 23?
71°F or below 71%
90°F or higher 56%
84-85°F 43%
76-77°F 35%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
71%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
43%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
56%
71°F or below 71%
90°F or higher 56%
84-85°F 43%
76-77°F 35%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
$20 Обс.
71%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
22%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
30%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
35%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
23%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
22%
84-85°F
$10 Обс.
43%
86-87°F
$10 Обс.
8%
88-89°F
$10 Обс.
1%
90°F or higher
$25 Обс.
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level ridging over the southern Plains continues to suppress cloud cover and limit radiational cooling in central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance projecting an overnight low near 80°F for Austin on August 23 amid south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph and dew points in the upper 60s. This aligns with model consensus showing minimal temperature drop after sunset under mostly clear skies, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 73°F. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds, with leading market-implied odds clustered near 71°F or below and 76–77°F bins, as small forecast adjustments from steering patterns or brief moisture could shift outcomes within the 74–81°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$75Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level ridging over the southern Plains continues to suppress cloud cover and limit radiational cooling in central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance projecting an overnight low near 80°F for Austin on August 23 amid south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph and dew points in the upper 60s. This aligns with model consensus showing minimal temperature drop after sunset under mostly clear skies, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 73°F. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds, with leading market-implied odds clustered near 71°F or below and 76–77°F bins, as small forecast adjustments from steering patterns or brief moisture could shift outcomes within the 74–81°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$75Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent upper-level ridging over the southern Plains continues to suppress cloud cover and limit radiational cooling in central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance projecting an overnight low near 80°F for Austin on August 23 amid south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph and dew points in the upper 60s. This aligns with model consensus showing minimal temperature drop after sunset under mostly clear skies, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 73°F. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds, with leading market-implied odds clustered near 71°F or below and 76–77°F bins, as small forecast adjustments from steering patterns or brief moisture could shift outcomes within the 74–81°F range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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