Current ensemble forecasts from sources like ECMWF and GFS place Milan's August 26 maximum in the 29–31°C range, consistent with Po Valley climatology of late-summer highs averaging near 28–30°C. Subtle model differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage create the tight spread between the leading 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Urban heat-island effects and potential for localized convection add further uncertainty to the exact peak, while recent regional subsidence has supported gradual warming without triggering a pronounced heatwave. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability of 1–2°C in daily maxima, with resolution hinging on official Milan observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on August 26?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 26?
29°C 36%
30°C 32%
28°C 30%
27°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
9%
28°C
19%
29°C
36%
30°C
32%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
5%
29°C 36%
30°C 32%
28°C 30%
27°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$52 Обс.
3%
27°C
$5 Обс.
9%
28°C
$71 Обс.
19%
29°C
$0 Обс.
36%
30°C
$0 Обс.
32%
31°C
$11 Обс.
13%
32°C or higher
$5 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from sources like ECMWF and GFS place Milan's August 26 maximum in the 29–31°C range, consistent with Po Valley climatology of late-summer highs averaging near 28–30°C. Subtle model differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage create the tight spread between the leading 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Urban heat-island effects and potential for localized convection add further uncertainty to the exact peak, while recent regional subsidence has supported gradual warming without triggering a pronounced heatwave. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability of 1–2°C in daily maxima, with resolution hinging on official Milan observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$154Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from sources like ECMWF and GFS place Milan's August 26 maximum in the 29–31°C range, consistent with Po Valley climatology of late-summer highs averaging near 28–30°C. Subtle model differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage create the tight spread between the leading 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Urban heat-island effects and potential for localized convection add further uncertainty to the exact peak, while recent regional subsidence has supported gradual warming without triggering a pronounced heatwave. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability of 1–2°C in daily maxima, with resolution hinging on official Milan observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$154Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from sources like ECMWF and GFS place Milan's August 26 maximum in the 29–31°C range, consistent with Po Valley climatology of late-summer highs averaging near 28–30°C. Subtle model differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage create the tight spread between the leading 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Urban heat-island effects and potential for localized convection add further uncertainty to the exact peak, while recent regional subsidence has supported gradual warming without triggering a pronounced heatwave. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability of 1–2°C in daily maxima, with resolution hinging on official Milan observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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