Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a maximum of 23–25°C in London on August 25 under mostly sunny intervals with light southerly flow, placing the 23°C outcome slightly ahead at 31.5% implied probability. Minor spread across 22°C (26.5%) and 24°C (20%) reflects remaining uncertainty in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak Atlantic front that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology centers near 22°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly supported by high pressure over northern Europe. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shift in the 850 hPa temperature field or diurnal heating potential that could resolve the tight clustering around the low-to-mid 20s.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 25?
Highest temperature in London on August 25?
23°C 32%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
10%
22°C
27%
23°C
32%
24°C
20%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 32%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
17°C or below
$135 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$208 Обс.
1%
19°C
$478 Обс.
2%
20°C
$597 Обс.
4%
21°C
$667 Обс.
10%
22°C
$656 Обс.
27%
23°C
$2,736 Обс.
32%
24°C
$3,701 Обс.
20%
25°C
$485 Обс.
6%
26°C
$185 Обс.
2%
27°C or higher
$145 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a maximum of 23–25°C in London on August 25 under mostly sunny intervals with light southerly flow, placing the 23°C outcome slightly ahead at 31.5% implied probability. Minor spread across 22°C (26.5%) and 24°C (20%) reflects remaining uncertainty in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak Atlantic front that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology centers near 22°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly supported by high pressure over northern Europe. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shift in the 850 hPa temperature field or diurnal heating potential that could resolve the tight clustering around the low-to-mid 20s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,993Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a maximum of 23–25°C in London on August 25 under mostly sunny intervals with light southerly flow, placing the 23°C outcome slightly ahead at 31.5% implied probability. Minor spread across 22°C (26.5%) and 24°C (20%) reflects remaining uncertainty in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak Atlantic front that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology centers near 22°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly supported by high pressure over northern Europe. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shift in the 850 hPa temperature field or diurnal heating potential that could resolve the tight clustering around the low-to-mid 20s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,993Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a maximum of 23–25°C in London on August 25 under mostly sunny intervals with light southerly flow, placing the 23°C outcome slightly ahead at 31.5% implied probability. Minor spread across 22°C (26.5%) and 24°C (20%) reflects remaining uncertainty in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak Atlantic front that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology centers near 22°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly supported by high pressure over northern Europe. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shift in the 850 hPa temperature field or diurnal heating potential that could resolve the tight clustering around the low-to-mid 20s.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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