Forecast models from official Chinese meteorological sources indicate a high of 33°C for Shanghai on August 26 under predominantly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, moderating peak heating compared to clearer conditions. This aligns with typical late-August subtropical patterns where cloud cover and humidity around 70-80% limit diurnal rises, positioning 32°C as the market's leading outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Nearby observations show recent daily maxima of 32-33°C, while ensemble guidance shows limited upside to 34°C absent strong solar insolation or southerly flow shifts. The slight edge for 32°C over 33°C reflects model consensus on partial cloud persistence through afternoon peak heating hours, with minimal rain risk keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than exceptional extremes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
32°C 50%
31°C 26%
33°C 18%
30°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
26%
32°C
50%
33°C
18%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
31°C 26%
33°C 18%
30°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
$119 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$891 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$275 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$503 Обс.
3%
30°C
$509 Обс.
5%
31°C
$3,248 Обс.
26%
32°C
$488 Обс.
50%
33°C
$433 Обс.
18%
34°C
$947 Обс.
5%
35°C
$99 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$103 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from official Chinese meteorological sources indicate a high of 33°C for Shanghai on August 26 under predominantly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, moderating peak heating compared to clearer conditions. This aligns with typical late-August subtropical patterns where cloud cover and humidity around 70-80% limit diurnal rises, positioning 32°C as the market's leading outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Nearby observations show recent daily maxima of 32-33°C, while ensemble guidance shows limited upside to 34°C absent strong solar insolation or southerly flow shifts. The slight edge for 32°C over 33°C reflects model consensus on partial cloud persistence through afternoon peak heating hours, with minimal rain risk keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than exceptional extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,614Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from official Chinese meteorological sources indicate a high of 33°C for Shanghai on August 26 under predominantly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, moderating peak heating compared to clearer conditions. This aligns with typical late-August subtropical patterns where cloud cover and humidity around 70-80% limit diurnal rises, positioning 32°C as the market's leading outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Nearby observations show recent daily maxima of 32-33°C, while ensemble guidance shows limited upside to 34°C absent strong solar insolation or southerly flow shifts. The slight edge for 32°C over 33°C reflects model consensus on partial cloud persistence through afternoon peak heating hours, with minimal rain risk keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than exceptional extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,614Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from official Chinese meteorological sources indicate a high of 33°C for Shanghai on August 26 under predominantly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, moderating peak heating compared to clearer conditions. This aligns with typical late-August subtropical patterns where cloud cover and humidity around 70-80% limit diurnal rises, positioning 32°C as the market's leading outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Nearby observations show recent daily maxima of 32-33°C, while ensemble guidance shows limited upside to 34°C absent strong solar insolation or southerly flow shifts. The slight edge for 32°C over 33°C reflects model consensus on partial cloud persistence through afternoon peak heating hours, with minimal rain risk keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than exceptional extremes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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