Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C for Shanghai on August 26, driven by elevated humidity near 80–85%, light northeast winds under 10 km/h, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with the current late-summer pattern of persistent warmth, where minimum temperatures have hovered at 26–27°C for the prior week amid a gradual seasonal decline from peak July values. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with implied probabilities favoring 27°C as the most likely outcome while assigning lower weight to a 26°C dip if clearer skies develop. Official measurements from the Shanghai station will determine resolution, with final model updates expected overnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
27°C 62%
26°C 35%
28°C 4%
25°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
35%
27°C
62%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 62%
26°C 35%
28°C 4%
25°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$237 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$14 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$190 Обс.
2%
25°C
$80 Обс.
4%
26°C
$443 Обс.
35%
27°C
$532 Обс.
62%
28°C
$54 Обс.
4%
29°C
$86 Обс.
1%
30°C
$138 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$158 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$274 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C for Shanghai on August 26, driven by elevated humidity near 80–85%, light northeast winds under 10 km/h, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with the current late-summer pattern of persistent warmth, where minimum temperatures have hovered at 26–27°C for the prior week amid a gradual seasonal decline from peak July values. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with implied probabilities favoring 27°C as the most likely outcome while assigning lower weight to a 26°C dip if clearer skies develop. Official measurements from the Shanghai station will determine resolution, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,207Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C for Shanghai on August 26, driven by elevated humidity near 80–85%, light northeast winds under 10 km/h, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with the current late-summer pattern of persistent warmth, where minimum temperatures have hovered at 26–27°C for the prior week amid a gradual seasonal decline from peak July values. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with implied probabilities favoring 27°C as the most likely outcome while assigning lower weight to a 26°C dip if clearer skies develop. Official measurements from the Shanghai station will determine resolution, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,207Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C for Shanghai on August 26, driven by elevated humidity near 80–85%, light northeast winds under 10 km/h, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with the current late-summer pattern of persistent warmth, where minimum temperatures have hovered at 26–27°C for the prior week amid a gradual seasonal decline from peak July values. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with implied probabilities favoring 27°C as the most likely outcome while assigning lower weight to a 26°C dip if clearer skies develop. Official measurements from the Shanghai station will determine resolution, with final model updates expected overnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання