Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON points to a frontal system arriving over southern Germany on August 25, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that will limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 19–21°C in Munich. This contrasts with clearer, warmer conditions on August 24 and 26. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance cluster around 20°C as the most probable maximum, with lower odds for 22°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader positioning reflects this narrow scientific range, as modest shifts in model runs could still favor either 19°C or 21°C depending on precipitation onset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on August 25?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 25?
20°C 32%
21°C 26%
19°C 19%
22°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
19%
20°C
32%
21°C
26%
22°C
10%
23°C or higher
6%
20°C 32%
21°C 26%
19°C 19%
22°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
$12 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$11 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$30 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$5 Обс.
1%
17°C
$62 Обс.
2%
18°C
$52 Обс.
7%
19°C
$125 Обс.
19%
20°C
$233 Обс.
32%
21°C
$98 Обс.
26%
22°C
$439 Обс.
10%
23°C or higher
$316 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON points to a frontal system arriving over southern Germany on August 25, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that will limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 19–21°C in Munich. This contrasts with clearer, warmer conditions on August 24 and 26. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance cluster around 20°C as the most probable maximum, with lower odds for 22°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader positioning reflects this narrow scientific range, as modest shifts in model runs could still favor either 19°C or 21°C depending on precipitation onset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,384Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON points to a frontal system arriving over southern Germany on August 25, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that will limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 19–21°C in Munich. This contrasts with clearer, warmer conditions on August 24 and 26. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance cluster around 20°C as the most probable maximum, with lower odds for 22°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader positioning reflects this narrow scientific range, as modest shifts in model runs could still favor either 19°C or 21°C depending on precipitation onset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,384Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and ICON points to a frontal system arriving over southern Germany on August 25, bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that will limit solar heating and cap daytime highs near 19–21°C in Munich. This contrasts with clearer, warmer conditions on August 24 and 26. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance cluster around 20°C as the most probable maximum, with lower odds for 22°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader positioning reflects this narrow scientific range, as modest shifts in model runs could still favor either 19°C or 21°C depending on precipitation onset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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