**Recent forecasts from sources like WeatherBug, Finnish meteorological services (Ilmatieteen laitos), and European models show daytime highs for Helsinki on August 27 clustering around 19–22°C under stable high-pressure conditions (around 1027 hPa), light winds, and partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies.** This setup favors modest daytime warming from solar heating in late summer, when average highs hover near 17–18°C but current conditions support slightly above-normal values. Model consensus and recent runs place the most likely maximum near 20–21°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 21°C (41.5%) and 22°C (31.5%), followed by 20°C (18.5%). Minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the peak by 1°C either way, explaining the concentration of probability mass in this narrow band and the low odds on extremes below 19°C or above 23°C. Updated official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute or NOAA/ECMWF ensembles in the next 24–48 hours will be the key near-term driver for any probability shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 27?
21°C 42%
22°C 32%
20°C 19%
23°C 8%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
19%
21°C
42%
22°C
32%
23°C
8%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 42%
22°C 32%
20°C 19%
23°C 8%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
19%
21°C
42%
22°C
32%
23°C
8%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from sources like WeatherBug, Finnish meteorological services (Ilmatieteen laitos), and European models show daytime highs for Helsinki on August 27 clustering around 19–22°C under stable high-pressure conditions (around 1027 hPa), light winds, and partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies.** This setup favors modest daytime warming from solar heating in late summer, when average highs hover near 17–18°C but current conditions support slightly above-normal values. Model consensus and recent runs place the most likely maximum near 20–21°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 21°C (41.5%) and 22°C (31.5%), followed by 20°C (18.5%). Minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the peak by 1°C either way, explaining the concentration of probability mass in this narrow band and the low odds on extremes below 19°C or above 23°C. Updated official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute or NOAA/ECMWF ensembles in the next 24–48 hours will be the key near-term driver for any probability shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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