Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a modest cooling trend for Ankara on August 25, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 31–33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and moisture advection. This setup aligns with late-August climatology where average highs hover near 32°C, yet recent model runs show tighter clustering around the lower end of the typical 30–35°C envelope due to slightly cooler upstream air masses. Traders assign the highest implied probability (52.5%) to exactly 31°C because official guidance and real-time observational trends favor this outcome over warmer scenarios, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum reported by Turkish meteorological stations. Minor shifts in boundary-layer humidity or wind could still alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
31°C 52%
30°C 25%
32°C 20%
29°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
25%
31°C
52%
32°C
20%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 52%
30°C 25%
32°C 20%
29°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$50 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$128 Обс.
1%
28°C
$128 Обс.
1%
29°C
$112 Обс.
5%
30°C
$535 Обс.
25%
31°C
$559 Обс.
52%
32°C
$191 Обс.
20%
33°C
$137 Обс.
4%
34°C
$58 Обс.
1%
35°C
$104 Обс.
1%
36°C or higher
$300 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a modest cooling trend for Ankara on August 25, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 31–33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and moisture advection. This setup aligns with late-August climatology where average highs hover near 32°C, yet recent model runs show tighter clustering around the lower end of the typical 30–35°C envelope due to slightly cooler upstream air masses. Traders assign the highest implied probability (52.5%) to exactly 31°C because official guidance and real-time observational trends favor this outcome over warmer scenarios, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum reported by Turkish meteorological stations. Minor shifts in boundary-layer humidity or wind could still alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,303Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a modest cooling trend for Ankara on August 25, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 31–33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and moisture advection. This setup aligns with late-August climatology where average highs hover near 32°C, yet recent model runs show tighter clustering around the lower end of the typical 30–35°C envelope due to slightly cooler upstream air masses. Traders assign the highest implied probability (52.5%) to exactly 31°C because official guidance and real-time observational trends favor this outcome over warmer scenarios, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum reported by Turkish meteorological stations. Minor shifts in boundary-layer humidity or wind could still alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,303Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a modest cooling trend for Ankara on August 25, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 31–33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and moisture advection. This setup aligns with late-August climatology where average highs hover near 32°C, yet recent model runs show tighter clustering around the lower end of the typical 30–35°C envelope due to slightly cooler upstream air masses. Traders assign the highest implied probability (52.5%) to exactly 31°C because official guidance and real-time observational trends favor this outcome over warmer scenarios, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum reported by Turkish meteorological stations. Minor shifts in boundary-layer humidity or wind could still alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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