National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and area airports call for sunny skies and a daily high of 79–81°F today under light west-to-northwest winds, consistent with model consensus from recent runs. This places the most likely peak squarely in the 80–81°F bin, aligning with the 60% market-implied probability, while the 32% on 78–79°F reflects minor uncertainty in exact timing of the afternoon maximum. Conditions remain typical for late August, with dew points in the mid-50s limiting humidity-driven warming and no incoming fronts expected to alter the ridge. Updated midday observations and any final NWS adjustments will determine resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 25?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 25?
80-81°F 68%
78-79°F 26%
76-77°F 5%
82-83°F 5%
НОВЕ
$31,322 Обс.
НОВЕ
$31,322 Обс.
Aug 25, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
68%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 68%
78-79°F 26%
76-77°F 5%
82-83°F 5%
НОВЕ
$31,322 Обс.
НОВЕ
$31,322 Обс.
Aug 25, 2026
67°F or below
$208 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$288 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$588 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$408 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,276 Обс.
1%
76-77°F
$7,631 Обс.
5%
78-79°F
$10,269 Обс.
26%
80-81°F
$6,031 Обс.
68%
82-83°F
$1,946 Обс.
5%
84-85°F
$1,340 Обс.
<1%
86°F or higher
$337 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and area airports call for sunny skies and a daily high of 79–81°F today under light west-to-northwest winds, consistent with model consensus from recent runs. This places the most likely peak squarely in the 80–81°F bin, aligning with the 60% market-implied probability, while the 32% on 78–79°F reflects minor uncertainty in exact timing of the afternoon maximum. Conditions remain typical for late August, with dew points in the mid-50s limiting humidity-driven warming and no incoming fronts expected to alter the ridge. Updated midday observations and any final NWS adjustments will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$31,322Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and area airports call for sunny skies and a daily high of 79–81°F today under light west-to-northwest winds, consistent with model consensus from recent runs. This places the most likely peak squarely in the 80–81°F bin, aligning with the 60% market-implied probability, while the 32% on 78–79°F reflects minor uncertainty in exact timing of the afternoon maximum. Conditions remain typical for late August, with dew points in the mid-50s limiting humidity-driven warming and no incoming fronts expected to alter the ridge. Updated midday observations and any final NWS adjustments will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$31,322Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and area airports call for sunny skies and a daily high of 79–81°F today under light west-to-northwest winds, consistent with model consensus from recent runs. This places the most likely peak squarely in the 80–81°F bin, aligning with the 60% market-implied probability, while the 32% on 78–79°F reflects minor uncertainty in exact timing of the afternoon maximum. Conditions remain typical for late August, with dew points in the mid-50s limiting humidity-driven warming and no incoming fronts expected to alter the ridge. Updated midday observations and any final NWS adjustments will determine resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання