Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as the GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in New York City on August 25 will likely settle in the mid-60s Fahrenheit under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F. Radiational cooling under clearer patches could push the minimum toward 64–65°F, while increased cloud cover or urban heat retention favors 66–67°F. Recent observations show temperatures running slightly below seasonal normals, with August 20–22 lows near 63°F, yet no strong frontal systems or moisture surges are expected to alter the trajectory overnight. Traders are weighing subtle differences in dew point forecasts and boundary-layer mixing that determine the precise low, with resolution hinging on official Central Park readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on August 25?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 25?
64-65°F 34%
66-67°F 34%
68-69°F 21%
62-63°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
53°F or below
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
34%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
4%
72°F or higher
2%
64-65°F 34%
66-67°F 34%
68-69°F 21%
62-63°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
53°F or below
$5 Обс.
1%
54-55°F
$110 Обс.
<1%
56-57°F
$10 Обс.
1%
58-59°F
$10 Обс.
4%
60-61°F
$495 Обс.
2%
62-63°F
$134 Обс.
11%
64-65°F
$121 Обс.
34%
66-67°F
$130 Обс.
34%
68-69°F
$193 Обс.
21%
70-71°F
$300 Обс.
4%
72°F or higher
$70 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as the GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in New York City on August 25 will likely settle in the mid-60s Fahrenheit under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F. Radiational cooling under clearer patches could push the minimum toward 64–65°F, while increased cloud cover or urban heat retention favors 66–67°F. Recent observations show temperatures running slightly below seasonal normals, with August 20–22 lows near 63°F, yet no strong frontal systems or moisture surges are expected to alter the trajectory overnight. Traders are weighing subtle differences in dew point forecasts and boundary-layer mixing that determine the precise low, with resolution hinging on official Central Park readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,578Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as the GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in New York City on August 25 will likely settle in the mid-60s Fahrenheit under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F. Radiational cooling under clearer patches could push the minimum toward 64–65°F, while increased cloud cover or urban heat retention favors 66–67°F. Recent observations show temperatures running slightly below seasonal normals, with August 20–22 lows near 63°F, yet no strong frontal systems or moisture surges are expected to alter the trajectory overnight. Traders are weighing subtle differences in dew point forecasts and boundary-layer mixing that determine the precise low, with resolution hinging on official Central Park readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,578Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as the GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in New York City on August 25 will likely settle in the mid-60s Fahrenheit under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F. Radiational cooling under clearer patches could push the minimum toward 64–65°F, while increased cloud cover or urban heat retention favors 66–67°F. Recent observations show temperatures running slightly below seasonal normals, with August 20–22 lows near 63°F, yet no strong frontal systems or moisture surges are expected to alter the trajectory overnight. Traders are weighing subtle differences in dew point forecasts and boundary-layer mixing that determine the precise low, with resolution hinging on official Central Park readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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