Recent weather model consensus from agencies tracking the region points to a highest temperature near 18–19°C in Moscow on August 27, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities for those outcomes. Cooling from the prior day's showers and a northwesterly flow have suppressed daytime maxima, with current runs showing limited warming potential under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical late-August climatology in the area typically features highs around 20–22°C, but the latest observational data indicate slightly below-normal conditions persisting. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will be the key variable that could shift trader positioning toward 20°C or cooler thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 27?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 27?
18°C 42%
19°C 32%
17°C 30%
20°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
14°C or below
4%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
30%
18°C
42%
19°C
32%
20°C
12%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
4%
18°C 42%
19°C 32%
17°C 30%
20°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
15°C
$0 Обс.
2%
16°C
$19 Обс.
5%
17°C
$21 Обс.
30%
18°C
$0 Обс.
42%
19°C
$0 Обс.
32%
20°C
$90 Обс.
12%
21°C
$0 Обс.
8%
22°C
$0 Обс.
8%
23°C
$0 Обс.
5%
24°C or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from agencies tracking the region points to a highest temperature near 18–19°C in Moscow on August 27, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities for those outcomes. Cooling from the prior day's showers and a northwesterly flow have suppressed daytime maxima, with current runs showing limited warming potential under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical late-August climatology in the area typically features highs around 20–22°C, but the latest observational data indicate slightly below-normal conditions persisting. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will be the key variable that could shift trader positioning toward 20°C or cooler thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$130Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from agencies tracking the region points to a highest temperature near 18–19°C in Moscow on August 27, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities for those outcomes. Cooling from the prior day's showers and a northwesterly flow have suppressed daytime maxima, with current runs showing limited warming potential under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical late-August climatology in the area typically features highs around 20–22°C, but the latest observational data indicate slightly below-normal conditions persisting. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will be the key variable that could shift trader positioning toward 20°C or cooler thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$130Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from agencies tracking the region points to a highest temperature near 18–19°C in Moscow on August 27, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities for those outcomes. Cooling from the prior day's showers and a northwesterly flow have suppressed daytime maxima, with current runs showing limited warming potential under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical late-August climatology in the area typically features highs around 20–22°C, but the latest observational data indicate slightly below-normal conditions persisting. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will be the key variable that could shift trader positioning toward 20°C or cooler thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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