**Latest AEMET and numerical weather model guidance point to a maximum temperature of 25–27 °C in Madrid on 28 August, with 27 °C carrying the highest market-implied probability at 45 %.** Clear skies and light southwesterly winds are expected after Thursday’s cooler, rain-affected day, allowing modest daytime heating under high pressure. Model consensus (GFS and ECMWF runs) shows afternoon peaks near 26–27 °C at representative stations, consistent with the current cooler-than-average late-summer pattern driven by Atlantic airflow. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 30–31 °C, but recent westerly steering and lower dew points have suppressed readings, reducing upside risk to 28 °C or above. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and determine whether the distribution shifts toward the tightly clustered 26–28 °C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
27°C 45%
26°C 23%
28°C 23%
25°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
23%
27°C
45%
28°C
23%
29°C
7%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 45%
26°C 23%
28°C 23%
25°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Обс.
1%
23°C
$5 Обс.
1%
24°C
$113 Обс.
1%
25°C
$43 Обс.
8%
26°C
$139 Обс.
23%
27°C
$113 Обс.
45%
28°C
$123 Обс.
23%
29°C
$10 Обс.
7%
30°C
$5 Обс.
4%
31°C
$5 Обс.
1%
32°C or higher
$5 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest AEMET and numerical weather model guidance point to a maximum temperature of 25–27 °C in Madrid on 28 August, with 27 °C carrying the highest market-implied probability at 45 %.** Clear skies and light southwesterly winds are expected after Thursday’s cooler, rain-affected day, allowing modest daytime heating under high pressure. Model consensus (GFS and ECMWF runs) shows afternoon peaks near 26–27 °C at representative stations, consistent with the current cooler-than-average late-summer pattern driven by Atlantic airflow. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 30–31 °C, but recent westerly steering and lower dew points have suppressed readings, reducing upside risk to 28 °C or above. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and determine whether the distribution shifts toward the tightly clustered 26–28 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$566Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest AEMET and numerical weather model guidance point to a maximum temperature of 25–27 °C in Madrid on 28 August, with 27 °C carrying the highest market-implied probability at 45 %.** Clear skies and light southwesterly winds are expected after Thursday’s cooler, rain-affected day, allowing modest daytime heating under high pressure. Model consensus (GFS and ECMWF runs) shows afternoon peaks near 26–27 °C at representative stations, consistent with the current cooler-than-average late-summer pattern driven by Atlantic airflow. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 30–31 °C, but recent westerly steering and lower dew points have suppressed readings, reducing upside risk to 28 °C or above. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and determine whether the distribution shifts toward the tightly clustered 26–28 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$566Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest AEMET and numerical weather model guidance point to a maximum temperature of 25–27 °C in Madrid on 28 August, with 27 °C carrying the highest market-implied probability at 45 %.** Clear skies and light southwesterly winds are expected after Thursday’s cooler, rain-affected day, allowing modest daytime heating under high pressure. Model consensus (GFS and ECMWF runs) shows afternoon peaks near 26–27 °C at representative stations, consistent with the current cooler-than-average late-summer pattern driven by Atlantic airflow. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 30–31 °C, but recent westerly steering and lower dew points have suppressed readings, reducing upside risk to 28 °C or above. Updated short-range forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and determine whether the distribution shifts toward the tightly clustered 26–28 °C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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