Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas indicate the overnight low on August 26 will likely fall in the upper 70s to low 80s under continued high pressure and southerly flow, with minimal radiational cooling expected amid dry air and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with trader emphasis on the closely bunched 84-87°F outcomes near 46-47% implied probability, reflecting model consensus on sustained heat from the current dome while allowing for slight variations in wind shifts or cloud cover. Historical August lows average near 76°F, but the ongoing extreme heat pattern has elevated baseline overnight readings, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds that upcoming short-range model updates could refine before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Dallas on August 26?
98°F or higher 83%
94-95°F 64%
96-97°F 64%
86-87°F 48%
79°F or below
25%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
45%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
44%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
64%
96-97°F
64%
98°F or higher
83%
98°F or higher 83%
94-95°F 64%
96-97°F 64%
86-87°F 48%
79°F or below
25%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
45%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
44%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
64%
96-97°F
64%
98°F or higher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas indicate the overnight low on August 26 will likely fall in the upper 70s to low 80s under continued high pressure and southerly flow, with minimal radiational cooling expected amid dry air and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with trader emphasis on the closely bunched 84-87°F outcomes near 46-47% implied probability, reflecting model consensus on sustained heat from the current dome while allowing for slight variations in wind shifts or cloud cover. Historical August lows average near 76°F, but the ongoing extreme heat pattern has elevated baseline overnight readings, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds that upcoming short-range model updates could refine before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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