Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate a low around 69–74°F for New York City on August 27, 2026, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around the 68–73°F range reflecting forecast spread and typical model uncertainty near the resolution thresholds. Cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected overnight will limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. South to southwest winds around 10–15 mph further moderate the low by mixing warmer air, while the season’s climatological average low near 67°F provides baseline context. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period will likely drive any shifts in market positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on August 27?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 27?
70-71°F 36%
68-69°F 31%
72-73°F 30%
74-75°F 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
59°F or below
2%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
13%
78°F or higher
2%
70-71°F 36%
68-69°F 31%
72-73°F 30%
74-75°F 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
59°F or below
$43 Обс.
2%
60-61°F
$43 Обс.
1%
62-63°F
$22 Обс.
2%
64-65°F
$22 Обс.
3%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
5%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
31%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
36%
72-73°F
$82 Обс.
30%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
21%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
13%
78°F or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate a low around 69–74°F for New York City on August 27, 2026, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around the 68–73°F range reflecting forecast spread and typical model uncertainty near the resolution thresholds. Cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected overnight will limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. South to southwest winds around 10–15 mph further moderate the low by mixing warmer air, while the season’s climatological average low near 67°F provides baseline context. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period will likely drive any shifts in market positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$212Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate a low around 69–74°F for New York City on August 27, 2026, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around the 68–73°F range reflecting forecast spread and typical model uncertainty near the resolution thresholds. Cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected overnight will limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. South to southwest winds around 10–15 mph further moderate the low by mixing warmer air, while the season’s climatological average low near 67°F provides baseline context. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period will likely drive any shifts in market positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$212Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate a low around 69–74°F for New York City on August 27, 2026, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around the 68–73°F range reflecting forecast spread and typical model uncertainty near the resolution thresholds. Cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected overnight will limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. South to southwest winds around 10–15 mph further moderate the low by mixing warmer air, while the season’s climatological average low near 67°F provides baseline context. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period will likely drive any shifts in market positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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