Trader consensus on the closely matched 9°C and 10°C outcomes for Buenos Aires’ August 27 minimum reflects uncertainty in the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station reading amid variable conditions. Southeasterly winds advected cooler, humid maritime air from the Río de la Plata while intermittent showers and extensive cloud cover limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 90% and light winds further moderated temperature drops, keeping the overnight low near the seasonal average rather than allowing deeper cooling under clear skies. Model guidance and preliminary observations converged on 10–12°C, but slight differences in station siting, measurement timing, and urban heat influences create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes. Updated official data expected shortly will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 27?
10°C 50%
9°C 47%
7°C 6%
8°C 3%
$2,930 Обс.
$2,930 Обс.
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
6%
8°C
3%
9°C
47%
10°C
50%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
10°C 50%
9°C 47%
7°C 6%
8°C 3%
$2,930 Обс.
$2,930 Обс.
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
6%
8°C
3%
9°C
47%
10°C
50%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the closely matched 9°C and 10°C outcomes for Buenos Aires’ August 27 minimum reflects uncertainty in the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station reading amid variable conditions. Southeasterly winds advected cooler, humid maritime air from the Río de la Plata while intermittent showers and extensive cloud cover limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 90% and light winds further moderated temperature drops, keeping the overnight low near the seasonal average rather than allowing deeper cooling under clear skies. Model guidance and preliminary observations converged on 10–12°C, but slight differences in station siting, measurement timing, and urban heat influences create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes. Updated official data expected shortly will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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