**Current forecast consensus from sources including the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and global models points to an overnight minimum near 25–26°C for August 28, yet trader consensus has coalesced around 22°C as the most probable official low.** Persistent subtropical high pressure has kept daytime highs at 28–30°C with elevated humidity and light easterly flow, limiting radiative cooling overnight. Recent model runs show only modest nocturnal drops, consistent with historical August averages of roughly 22°C minimums, while the shift to northerly winds and potential scattered showers expected from August 29 onward has not yet influenced today’s reading. Market-implied odds reflect this baseline climatology tempered by short-term observational uncertainty around the precise timing of the daily minimum and any localized coastal or urban effects that could shave 1–2°C from the forecast value.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
21°C 25%
20°C or below 2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
НОВЕ
$24,141 Обс.
НОВЕ
$24,141 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
25%
22°C
72%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
21°C 25%
20°C or below 2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
НОВЕ
$24,141 Обс.
НОВЕ
$24,141 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
$95 Обс.
2%
21°C
$12 Обс.
25%
22°C
$6 Обс.
72%
23°C
$276 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$11,745 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$11,452 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$118 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$90 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$117 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$110 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$119 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from sources including the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and global models points to an overnight minimum near 25–26°C for August 28, yet trader consensus has coalesced around 22°C as the most probable official low.** Persistent subtropical high pressure has kept daytime highs at 28–30°C with elevated humidity and light easterly flow, limiting radiative cooling overnight. Recent model runs show only modest nocturnal drops, consistent with historical August averages of roughly 22°C minimums, while the shift to northerly winds and potential scattered showers expected from August 29 onward has not yet influenced today’s reading. Market-implied odds reflect this baseline climatology tempered by short-term observational uncertainty around the precise timing of the daily minimum and any localized coastal or urban effects that could shave 1–2°C from the forecast value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,141Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from sources including the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and global models points to an overnight minimum near 25–26°C for August 28, yet trader consensus has coalesced around 22°C as the most probable official low.** Persistent subtropical high pressure has kept daytime highs at 28–30°C with elevated humidity and light easterly flow, limiting radiative cooling overnight. Recent model runs show only modest nocturnal drops, consistent with historical August averages of roughly 22°C minimums, while the shift to northerly winds and potential scattered showers expected from August 29 onward has not yet influenced today’s reading. Market-implied odds reflect this baseline climatology tempered by short-term observational uncertainty around the precise timing of the daily minimum and any localized coastal or urban effects that could shave 1–2°C from the forecast value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$24,141Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from sources including the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and global models points to an overnight minimum near 25–26°C for August 28, yet trader consensus has coalesced around 22°C as the most probable official low.** Persistent subtropical high pressure has kept daytime highs at 28–30°C with elevated humidity and light easterly flow, limiting radiative cooling overnight. Recent model runs show only modest nocturnal drops, consistent with historical August averages of roughly 22°C minimums, while the shift to northerly winds and potential scattered showers expected from August 29 onward has not yet influenced today’s reading. Market-implied odds reflect this baseline climatology tempered by short-term observational uncertainty around the precise timing of the daily minimum and any localized coastal or urban effects that could shave 1–2°C from the forecast value.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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