Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as the GFS project a daily minimum temperature in the mid-60s°F for New York City on August 29, 2026, driven by clear skies, light northwest winds shifting southwest overnight, and radiational cooling under high pressure. This setup favors efficient heat loss after a daytime high near 79–81°F, aligning with climatological norms for late August where average lows reach about 66°F. Recent model consensus and surface observations show no significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, positioning the 64–65°F bin as the dominant outcome in trader sentiment while lower or higher bins reflect minimal uncertainty from potential microsite variations or measurement timing at Central Park.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on August 29?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 29?
64-65°F 96.7%
62-63°F 4.8%
60-61°F <1%
55°F or below <1%
$7,309 Обс.
$7,309 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
97%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 96.7%
62-63°F 4.8%
60-61°F <1%
55°F or below <1%
$7,309 Обс.
$7,309 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
55°F or below
$40 Обс.
<1%
56-57°F
$30 Обс.
<1%
58-59°F
$30 Обс.
<1%
60-61°F
$372 Обс.
1%
62-63°F
$562 Обс.
5%
64-65°F
$1,158 Обс.
97%
66-67°F
$2,089 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,433 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$909 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$504 Обс.
<1%
74°F or higher
$183 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as the GFS project a daily minimum temperature in the mid-60s°F for New York City on August 29, 2026, driven by clear skies, light northwest winds shifting southwest overnight, and radiational cooling under high pressure. This setup favors efficient heat loss after a daytime high near 79–81°F, aligning with climatological norms for late August where average lows reach about 66°F. Recent model consensus and surface observations show no significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, positioning the 64–65°F bin as the dominant outcome in trader sentiment while lower or higher bins reflect minimal uncertainty from potential microsite variations or measurement timing at Central Park.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,309Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as the GFS project a daily minimum temperature in the mid-60s°F for New York City on August 29, 2026, driven by clear skies, light northwest winds shifting southwest overnight, and radiational cooling under high pressure. This setup favors efficient heat loss after a daytime high near 79–81°F, aligning with climatological norms for late August where average lows reach about 66°F. Recent model consensus and surface observations show no significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, positioning the 64–65°F bin as the dominant outcome in trader sentiment while lower or higher bins reflect minimal uncertainty from potential microsite variations or measurement timing at Central Park.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,309Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as the GFS project a daily minimum temperature in the mid-60s°F for New York City on August 29, 2026, driven by clear skies, light northwest winds shifting southwest overnight, and radiational cooling under high pressure. This setup favors efficient heat loss after a daytime high near 79–81°F, aligning with climatological norms for late August where average lows reach about 66°F. Recent model consensus and surface observations show no significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, positioning the 64–65°F bin as the dominant outcome in trader sentiment while lower or higher bins reflect minimal uncertainty from potential microsite variations or measurement timing at Central Park.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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