**Persistent tropical moisture and frequent convection are capping maximum temperatures in Panama City, Panama, near the seasonal norm of 30–32°C.** Official guidance and ensemble models through late August show widespread cloud cover and showers tied to ITCZ activity, which reduces incoming solar radiation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors a peak near 31°C on August 31, aligning with the market’s leading 36.5% implied probability, while a 30°C outcome (26.5%) remains plausible if heavier afternoon rain arrives earlier. Recent model runs indicate limited clearing windows that could allow brief warming to 32°C or higher (18% implied), but widespread thunderstorms are expected to keep surface heating in check. Historical late-August data show highs rarely exceed 33°C without anomalous dry spells, supporting the lower probabilities assigned to 33°C+ (12%) and cooler outcomes below 29°C. Updated NWP guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the primary near-term drivers of any shifts in these trader-assessed ranges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on August 31?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 31?
31°C 36%
30°C 27%
29°C 22%
32°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
22%
30°C
27%
31°C
36%
32°C
18%
33°C or higher
12%
31°C 36%
30°C 27%
29°C 22%
32°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$0 Обс.
2%
26°C
$0 Обс.
4%
27°C
$0 Обс.
4%
28°C
$0 Обс.
14%
29°C
$0 Обс.
22%
30°C
$6 Обс.
27%
31°C
$0 Обс.
36%
32°C
$11 Обс.
18%
33°C or higher
$46 Обс.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent tropical moisture and frequent convection are capping maximum temperatures in Panama City, Panama, near the seasonal norm of 30–32°C.** Official guidance and ensemble models through late August show widespread cloud cover and showers tied to ITCZ activity, which reduces incoming solar radiation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors a peak near 31°C on August 31, aligning with the market’s leading 36.5% implied probability, while a 30°C outcome (26.5%) remains plausible if heavier afternoon rain arrives earlier.
Recent model runs indicate limited clearing windows that could allow brief warming to 32°C or higher (18% implied), but widespread thunderstorms are expected to keep surface heating in check. Historical late-August data show highs rarely exceed 33°C without anomalous dry spells, supporting the lower probabilities assigned to 33°C+ (12%) and cooler outcomes below 29°C. Updated NWP guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the primary near-term drivers of any shifts in these trader-assessed ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$63Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent tropical moisture and frequent convection are capping maximum temperatures in Panama City, Panama, near the seasonal norm of 30–32°C.** Official guidance and ensemble models through late August show widespread cloud cover and showers tied to ITCZ activity, which reduces incoming solar radiation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors a peak near 31°C on August 31, aligning with the market’s leading 36.5% implied probability, while a 30°C outcome (26.5%) remains plausible if heavier afternoon rain arrives earlier.
Recent model runs indicate limited clearing windows that could allow brief warming to 32°C or higher (18% implied), but widespread thunderstorms are expected to keep surface heating in check. Historical late-August data show highs rarely exceed 33°C without anomalous dry spells, supporting the lower probabilities assigned to 33°C+ (12%) and cooler outcomes below 29°C. Updated NWP guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the primary near-term drivers of any shifts in these trader-assessed ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$63Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent tropical moisture and frequent convection are capping maximum temperatures in Panama City, Panama, near the seasonal norm of 30–32°C.** Official guidance and ensemble models through late August show widespread cloud cover and showers tied to ITCZ activity, which reduces incoming solar radiation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors a peak near 31°C on August 31, aligning with the market’s leading 36.5% implied probability, while a 30°C outcome (26.5%) remains plausible if heavier afternoon rain arrives earlier. Recent model runs indicate limited clearing windows that could allow brief warming to 32°C or higher (18% implied), but widespread thunderstorms are expected to keep surface heating in check. Historical late-August data show highs rarely exceed 33°C without anomalous dry spells, supporting the lower probabilities assigned to 33°C+ (12%) and cooler outcomes below 29°C. Updated NWP guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the primary near-term drivers of any shifts in these trader-assessed ranges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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