Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF-influenced runs points to a maximum of 21–23 °C in Amsterdam on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate southwesterly winds. This represents a notable cooling from the 27–29 °C peaks observed on August 27, driven by an influx of milder Atlantic air that increases cloud cover and precipitation chances, limiting solar heating. Market-implied odds favor 22 °C (40 %) and 23 °C (27.5 %) because these values align closely with the central tendency of short-range guidance, while the spread to 21 °C (22.5 %) reflects remaining uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases likely to shift probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
22°C 40%
23°C 28%
21°C 23%
19°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
5%
21°C
23%
22°C
40%
23°C
28%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 40%
23°C 28%
21°C 23%
19°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$0 Обс.
1%
19°C
$0 Обс.
7%
20°C
$217 Обс.
5%
21°C
$36 Обс.
23%
22°C
$117 Обс.
40%
23°C
$22 Обс.
28%
24°C
$0 Обс.
5%
25°C
$0 Обс.
3%
26°C
$5 Обс.
1%
27°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF-influenced runs points to a maximum of 21–23 °C in Amsterdam on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate southwesterly winds. This represents a notable cooling from the 27–29 °C peaks observed on August 27, driven by an influx of milder Atlantic air that increases cloud cover and precipitation chances, limiting solar heating. Market-implied odds favor 22 °C (40 %) and 23 °C (27.5 %) because these values align closely with the central tendency of short-range guidance, while the spread to 21 °C (22.5 %) reflects remaining uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases likely to shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$391Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF-influenced runs points to a maximum of 21–23 °C in Amsterdam on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate southwesterly winds. This represents a notable cooling from the 27–29 °C peaks observed on August 27, driven by an influx of milder Atlantic air that increases cloud cover and precipitation chances, limiting solar heating. Market-implied odds favor 22 °C (40 %) and 23 °C (27.5 %) because these values align closely with the central tendency of short-range guidance, while the spread to 21 °C (22.5 %) reflects remaining uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases likely to shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$391Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF-influenced runs points to a maximum of 21–23 °C in Amsterdam on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate southwesterly winds. This represents a notable cooling from the 27–29 °C peaks observed on August 27, driven by an influx of milder Atlantic air that increases cloud cover and precipitation chances, limiting solar heating. Market-implied odds favor 22 °C (40 %) and 23 °C (27.5 %) because these values align closely with the central tendency of short-range guidance, while the spread to 21 °C (22.5 %) reflects remaining uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases likely to shift probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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