Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and regional ensembles points to a daytime maximum in Paris of 25–27°C on August 27, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26°C and 27°C reflecting this narrow range amid forecast uncertainty. Increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly flow are expected to limit strong heating, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach only 24°C, though brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 28°C. Key variables include the exact timing and coverage of precipitation, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, with updated runs from European and U.S. agencies likely to refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 27?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 27?
27°C 28%
26°C 27%
28°C 16%
25°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
16%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
4%
27°C 28%
26°C 27%
28°C 16%
25°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
$385 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$98 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$0 Обс.
1%
23°C
$0 Обс.
1%
24°C
$40 Обс.
3%
25°C
$74 Обс.
12%
26°C
$106 Обс.
27%
27°C
$231 Обс.
28%
28°C
$114 Обс.
16%
29°C
$0 Обс.
5%
30°C or higher
$56 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and regional ensembles points to a daytime maximum in Paris of 25–27°C on August 27, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26°C and 27°C reflecting this narrow range amid forecast uncertainty. Increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly flow are expected to limit strong heating, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach only 24°C, though brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 28°C. Key variables include the exact timing and coverage of precipitation, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, with updated runs from European and U.S. agencies likely to refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,104Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and regional ensembles points to a daytime maximum in Paris of 25–27°C on August 27, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26°C and 27°C reflecting this narrow range amid forecast uncertainty. Increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly flow are expected to limit strong heating, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach only 24°C, though brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 28°C. Key variables include the exact timing and coverage of precipitation, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, with updated runs from European and U.S. agencies likely to refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,104Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and regional ensembles points to a daytime maximum in Paris of 25–27°C on August 27, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26°C and 27°C reflecting this narrow range amid forecast uncertainty. Increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly flow are expected to limit strong heating, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach only 24°C, though brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 28°C. Key variables include the exact timing and coverage of precipitation, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, with updated runs from European and U.S. agencies likely to refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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