Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to overnight lows near 17–19°C in Paris on August 27 as a frontal system brings increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. This setup contrasts with clearer, drier conditions that could allow temperatures to dip toward 15°C or below, while stronger advection of warmer air or delayed precipitation might hold minima at 20°C or higher. Historical August overnight averages near 14–15°C provide baseline context, yet the current pattern favors milder readings. Traders weighting the 18°C and 19°C outcomes reflect this narrow forecast spread, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour model updates and station observations from Paris-Montsouris.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 27?
18°C 65%
19°C 43%
20°C 32%
17°C 19%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
11%
17°C
19%
18°C
65%
19°C
43%
20°C
32%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
5%
18°C 65%
19°C 43%
20°C 32%
17°C 19%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
11%
17°C
19%
18°C
65%
19°C
43%
20°C
32%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to overnight lows near 17–19°C in Paris on August 27 as a frontal system brings increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. This setup contrasts with clearer, drier conditions that could allow temperatures to dip toward 15°C or below, while stronger advection of warmer air or delayed precipitation might hold minima at 20°C or higher. Historical August overnight averages near 14–15°C provide baseline context, yet the current pattern favors milder readings. Traders weighting the 18°C and 19°C outcomes reflect this narrow forecast spread, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour model updates and station observations from Paris-Montsouris.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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