Current forecast models from MetService and international sources indicate a likely daily high of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 27, driven by mild northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover that supports modest warming above seasonal norms. NIWA’s August–October outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average or above-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with recent observations of daytime maxima around 15°C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C and 13°C outcomes, though model runs remain sensitive to any late shift toward cooler southerlies or increased shower activity that could cap the peak below 13°C. Updated guidance is expected within the next 24 hours as the event approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
14°C 53%
13°C 30%
15°C 9%
12°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
30%
14°C
53%
15°C
9%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 53%
13°C 30%
15°C 9%
12°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
8°C or below
$536 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$215 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$361 Обс.
1%
11°C
$74 Обс.
1%
12°C
$336 Обс.
5%
13°C
$1,003 Обс.
30%
14°C
$1,633 Обс.
53%
15°C
$1,273 Обс.
9%
16°C
$67 Обс.
3%
17°C
$135 Обс.
1%
18°C or higher
$273 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international sources indicate a likely daily high of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 27, driven by mild northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover that supports modest warming above seasonal norms. NIWA’s August–October outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average or above-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with recent observations of daytime maxima around 15°C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C and 13°C outcomes, though model runs remain sensitive to any late shift toward cooler southerlies or increased shower activity that could cap the peak below 13°C. Updated guidance is expected within the next 24 hours as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,905Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international sources indicate a likely daily high of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 27, driven by mild northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover that supports modest warming above seasonal norms. NIWA’s August–October outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average or above-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with recent observations of daytime maxima around 15°C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C and 13°C outcomes, though model runs remain sensitive to any late shift toward cooler southerlies or increased shower activity that could cap the peak below 13°C. Updated guidance is expected within the next 24 hours as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,905Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from MetService and international sources indicate a likely daily high of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 27, driven by mild northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover that supports modest warming above seasonal norms. NIWA’s August–October outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average or above-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with recent observations of daytime maxima around 15°C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C and 13°C outcomes, though model runs remain sensitive to any late shift toward cooler southerlies or increased shower activity that could cap the peak below 13°C. Updated guidance is expected within the next 24 hours as the event approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання