**National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 25 point to a high near 106°F under mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 104–107°F bins.** Ongoing high pressure and a heat wave have produced recent daily maxima of 105–109°F, with official observations confirming sustained southerly flow and minimal cloud cover that favor strong daytime heating. Model consensus shows limited variability, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Traders appear to price the outcome against these NWS and ensemble guidance, with historical August maxima averaging 95°F but recent analogs supporting temperatures in the mid-100s. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observation period will provide the last data before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on August 25?
104-105°F 37%
106-107°F 26%
102-103°F 21%
108-109°F 9%
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
21%
104-105°F
37%
106-107°F
26%
108-109°F
9%
110-111°F
4%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 37%
106-107°F 26%
102-103°F 21%
108-109°F 9%
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
21%
104-105°F
37%
106-107°F
26%
108-109°F
9%
110-111°F
4%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 25 point to a high near 106°F under mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 104–107°F bins.** Ongoing high pressure and a heat wave have produced recent daily maxima of 105–109°F, with official observations confirming sustained southerly flow and minimal cloud cover that favor strong daytime heating. Model consensus shows limited variability, though slight differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Traders appear to price the outcome against these NWS and ensemble guidance, with historical August maxima averaging 95°F but recent analogs supporting temperatures in the mid-100s. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour observation period will provide the last data before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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