Wellington's minimum temperature on August 27 hinges on the strength of northerly flow and associated cloud cover ahead of an approaching front, which is limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 9–11°C. Recent model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and local ensembles shows nighttime lows near 10–12°C under mostly cloudy, breezy conditions, with historical August baselines around 8–9°C but current readings running slightly milder. Trader sentiment reflects the narrow spread in ensemble outputs and the region's exposure to rapid wind shifts that can either enhance or suppress minimums by several degrees before resolution. Updated forecast runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tilt probabilities toward the 9°C or 11°C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
10°C 32%
8°C 24%
11°C 24%
7°C 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
5°C or below
11%
6°C
19%
7°C
22%
8°C
24%
9°C
18%
10°C
32%
11°C
24%
12°C
8%
13°C
8%
14°C
8%
15°C or higher
2%
10°C 32%
8°C 24%
11°C 24%
7°C 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Обс.
11%
6°C
$0 Обс.
19%
7°C
$0 Обс.
22%
8°C
$0 Обс.
24%
9°C
$0 Обс.
18%
10°C
$0 Обс.
32%
11°C
$0 Обс.
24%
12°C
$0 Обс.
8%
13°C
$0 Обс.
8%
14°C
$0 Обс.
8%
15°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's minimum temperature on August 27 hinges on the strength of northerly flow and associated cloud cover ahead of an approaching front, which is limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 9–11°C. Recent model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and local ensembles shows nighttime lows near 10–12°C under mostly cloudy, breezy conditions, with historical August baselines around 8–9°C but current readings running slightly milder. Trader sentiment reflects the narrow spread in ensemble outputs and the region's exposure to rapid wind shifts that can either enhance or suppress minimums by several degrees before resolution. Updated forecast runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tilt probabilities toward the 9°C or 11°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's minimum temperature on August 27 hinges on the strength of northerly flow and associated cloud cover ahead of an approaching front, which is limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 9–11°C. Recent model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and local ensembles shows nighttime lows near 10–12°C under mostly cloudy, breezy conditions, with historical August baselines around 8–9°C but current readings running slightly milder. Trader sentiment reflects the narrow spread in ensemble outputs and the region's exposure to rapid wind shifts that can either enhance or suppress minimums by several degrees before resolution. Updated forecast runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tilt probabilities toward the 9°C or 11°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington's minimum temperature on August 27 hinges on the strength of northerly flow and associated cloud cover ahead of an approaching front, which is limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 9–11°C. Recent model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and local ensembles shows nighttime lows near 10–12°C under mostly cloudy, breezy conditions, with historical August baselines around 8–9°C but current readings running slightly milder. Trader sentiment reflects the narrow spread in ensemble outputs and the region's exposure to rapid wind shifts that can either enhance or suppress minimums by several degrees before resolution. Updated forecast runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tilt probabilities toward the 9°C or 11°C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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