Recent MetService and international model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12 °C for Wellington on 26 August, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching Tasman low that favors partly cloudy skies and a few showers. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clear anticyclonic setups, while sea-surface temperatures around 12 °C and typical August southerly intrusions keep the floor from dropping below 10 °C. With the market tightly clustered between 11 °C and 13 °C, small differences hinge on the timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress the overnight low by 1–2 °C through enhanced mixing, versus clearer intervals that allow slightly greater cooling. Updated model runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
12°C 35%
11°C 28%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
16%
10°C
13%
11°C
28%
12°C
35%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
2%
12°C 35%
11°C 28%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
$15 Обс.
1%
9°C
$55 Обс.
16%
10°C
$10 Обс.
13%
11°C
$0 Обс.
28%
12°C
$0 Обс.
35%
13°C
$0 Обс.
26%
14°C
$0 Обс.
26%
15°C
$85 Обс.
5%
16°C
$5 Обс.
1%
17°C
$15 Обс.
7%
18°C or higher
$145 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12 °C for Wellington on 26 August, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching Tasman low that favors partly cloudy skies and a few showers. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clear anticyclonic setups, while sea-surface temperatures around 12 °C and typical August southerly intrusions keep the floor from dropping below 10 °C. With the market tightly clustered between 11 °C and 13 °C, small differences hinge on the timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress the overnight low by 1–2 °C through enhanced mixing, versus clearer intervals that allow slightly greater cooling. Updated model runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$330Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12 °C for Wellington on 26 August, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching Tasman low that favors partly cloudy skies and a few showers. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clear anticyclonic setups, while sea-surface temperatures around 12 °C and typical August southerly intrusions keep the floor from dropping below 10 °C. With the market tightly clustered between 11 °C and 13 °C, small differences hinge on the timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress the overnight low by 1–2 °C through enhanced mixing, versus clearer intervals that allow slightly greater cooling. Updated model runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$330Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and international model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12 °C for Wellington on 26 August, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching Tasman low that favors partly cloudy skies and a few showers. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clear anticyclonic setups, while sea-surface temperatures around 12 °C and typical August southerly intrusions keep the floor from dropping below 10 °C. With the market tightly clustered between 11 °C and 13 °C, small differences hinge on the timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress the overnight low by 1–2 °C through enhanced mixing, versus clearer intervals that allow slightly greater cooling. Updated model runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання