Latest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show Tokyo's maximum temperature on August 27 likely settling near 30–32°C amid weak high pressure and variable sea-breeze influences typical of late-summer conditions. With probabilities tightly clustered across these outcomes, traders weigh subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island amplification, and model spread in timing of any coastal airflow. Historical late-August baselines place daily highs around this range, yet short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and wind shifts keeps resolution sensitive to the final model runs issued overnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
31°C 28%
32°C 23%
30°C 22%
29°C 11%
НОВЕ
$11,051 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,051 Обс.
Aug 27, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
22%
31°C
28%
32°C
23%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 28%
32°C 23%
30°C 22%
29°C 11%
НОВЕ
$11,051 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,051 Обс.
Aug 27, 2026
27°C or below
$320 Обс.
1%
28°C
$332 Обс.
3%
29°C
$1,329 Обс.
11%
30°C
$1,566 Обс.
22%
31°C
$606 Обс.
28%
32°C
$1,264 Обс.
23%
33°C
$875 Обс.
9%
34°C
$1,162 Обс.
3%
35°C
$321 Обс.
3%
36°C
$1,728 Обс.
1%
37°C or higher
$1,548 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show Tokyo's maximum temperature on August 27 likely settling near 30–32°C amid weak high pressure and variable sea-breeze influences typical of late-summer conditions. With probabilities tightly clustered across these outcomes, traders weigh subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island amplification, and model spread in timing of any coastal airflow. Historical late-August baselines place daily highs around this range, yet short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and wind shifts keeps resolution sensitive to the final model runs issued overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,051Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show Tokyo's maximum temperature on August 27 likely settling near 30–32°C amid weak high pressure and variable sea-breeze influences typical of late-summer conditions. With probabilities tightly clustered across these outcomes, traders weigh subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island amplification, and model spread in timing of any coastal airflow. Historical late-August baselines place daily highs around this range, yet short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and wind shifts keeps resolution sensitive to the final model runs issued overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,051Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show Tokyo's maximum temperature on August 27 likely settling near 30–32°C amid weak high pressure and variable sea-breeze influences typical of late-summer conditions. With probabilities tightly clustered across these outcomes, traders weigh subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island amplification, and model spread in timing of any coastal airflow. Historical late-August baselines place daily highs around this range, yet short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and wind shifts keeps resolution sensitive to the final model runs issued overnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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