Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced runs, and regional services indicate showers and elevated cloud cover over Istanbul on August 29, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the current cooling trend after August 28 conditions and the 65 % precipitation probability noted in multiple ensembles, which favors the market’s leading 24 °C outcome at 47.5 % implied probability. Historical late-August climatology for the region shows typical highs of 26–28 °C under clearer skies, so any reduction in cloud or rain would support a shift toward 25 °C or 26 °C. Updated model guidance and official observations through the morning of August 29 will be the key variables for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 29?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 29?
24°C 48%
25°C 32%
23°C 16%
26°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
16%
24°C
48%
25°C
32%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
25°C 32%
23°C 16%
26°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
$91 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$70 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$258 Обс.
1%
22°C
$110 Обс.
1%
23°C
$709 Обс.
16%
24°C
$573 Обс.
48%
25°C
$721 Обс.
32%
26°C
$564 Обс.
5%
27°C
$229 Обс.
2%
28°C
$214 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$211 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced runs, and regional services indicate showers and elevated cloud cover over Istanbul on August 29, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the current cooling trend after August 28 conditions and the 65 % precipitation probability noted in multiple ensembles, which favors the market’s leading 24 °C outcome at 47.5 % implied probability. Historical late-August climatology for the region shows typical highs of 26–28 °C under clearer skies, so any reduction in cloud or rain would support a shift toward 25 °C or 26 °C. Updated model guidance and official observations through the morning of August 29 will be the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,750Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced runs, and regional services indicate showers and elevated cloud cover over Istanbul on August 29, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the current cooling trend after August 28 conditions and the 65 % precipitation probability noted in multiple ensembles, which favors the market’s leading 24 °C outcome at 47.5 % implied probability. Historical late-August climatology for the region shows typical highs of 26–28 °C under clearer skies, so any reduction in cloud or rain would support a shift toward 25 °C or 26 °C. Updated model guidance and official observations through the morning of August 29 will be the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,750Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced runs, and regional services indicate showers and elevated cloud cover over Istanbul on August 29, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the current cooling trend after August 28 conditions and the 65 % precipitation probability noted in multiple ensembles, which favors the market’s leading 24 °C outcome at 47.5 % implied probability. Historical late-August climatology for the region shows typical highs of 26–28 °C under clearer skies, so any reduction in cloud or rain would support a shift toward 25 °C or 26 °C. Updated model guidance and official observations through the morning of August 29 will be the key variables for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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